Subject: Econ Forecast for Dec. 28, 2025 to Jan. 2, 2026
Econ Forecast for Dec. 28, 2025 to Jan. 2, 2026
December 28th, 2025 at 12:26 pm ESTHi Folks. Welcome to the last Econ Forecast for 2025, and, technically, the first Econ Forecast for 2026. It's amazing that something that appears to carry such great import has so little to say. But at least the Silly Season is officially over as ...
Econ Forecast for Dec. 21-26, 2025
December 21st, 2025 at 3:14 pm ESTHi Folks. Here is this week's very short Forecast. SUNDAY: Zip. Nada. Zilch. Nothing. On to Monday. MONDAY: Asian/London Session: Great Britain leads off with three numbers out at 2:00 a.m.: Current Account, Final GDP q/q, and Revised Busines ...
Econ Forecast for Dec. 14-19, 2025
December 14th, 2025 at 5:28 pm ESTHi Folks. As expected, due to lacking any numbers to tell them otherwise (as far as we know, anyway) the US Fed cut rates another quarter point, down to 3.75%. Still a far cry from the .00 to .25% rate that ruled the day for most of the decade. But ...
Econ Forecast for Dec. 7-12, 2025
December 7th, 2025 at 12:07 pm ESTHi Folks. So Friday (Dec. 5th, aka the First Friday of the Month) came and went without an NFP release. Since the BLS had it still listed last week as a 12-5 report, I was more than a little surprised we didn't see the number, so I went back into t ...
How To Be Both Right and Wrong At The Exact Same Time
December 1st, 2025 at 4:29 pm ESTHi Folks. Last night I wrote to alert you that my Coaching Class has reopened for 5 new students, but forecast that all 5 slots would likely be sold out in the first 24 hours. I was both right and wrong about that, as 5 spots sold, but 2 of them ar ...
"So How Is That Coaching Thing Going?"
November 30th, 2025 at 5:21 pm ESTHi Folks. That's the question I've been getting a lot lately, and I haven't said a word about it since the last group signed up a few weeks back, so here is the update. 36 total students. 27 have graduated meaning they reached a point where they ...
Econ Forecast for Nov. 30 - Dec. 5, 2025
November 30th, 2025 at 9:27 am ESTHi Folks. So the avalanche of postponed numbers I was fearing has not happened yet, and honestly, looks like it may never happen. As noted last week, FF and the Department of Labor jammed about 8 or 9 unreleased Unemployment numbers into the rele ...
Econ Forecast for Nov. 23-28, 2025
November 23rd, 2025 at 5:14 pm ESTHi Folks. So the US Government shutdown is officially over, just in time for the Holiday Silly Season to get underway. We start off Silly Season with the US Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday (banks and markets are all closed) and only a partial work ...
Econ Forecast for Nov. 16-21, 2025
November 16th, 2025 at 9:41 am ESTHi Folks. So it seems I got a little ahead of myself (and the US Government) when I sent that email out last week declaring the shutdown was over. It turned out it was only mostly over which as we all know, mostly over means still ongoing . But i ...
Econ Forecast Update (Good News I Guess)
November 10th, 2025 at 6:56 am ESTHi Folks. I woke up this morning to the news a bunch of senators caved overnight and voted to reopen the US Government. As of this morning there is no noticeable change to the FF calendar, but I expect those changes to begin almost immediately. I w ...