Subject: 🚨This Week’s Free Trade: Built for a Bouncing Market 📈

A tactical trade, a choppy market, and a steady strategy.

Market Moves (With Jon Lewis from Terry's Tips)

This week in "Market Moves", we’re breaking down a fresh credit spread idea, recapping portfolio performance, and sharing Jon’s latest take on navigating the current market.

🚨FREE TRADE OF THE WEEK 🚨


"Game On"

(Credit spread trade)

🕹️ Jon spots a bullish setup in Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)

  • Trade Set Up – Put Credit Spread: Sell the June 27th 215/210 put spread for at least $0.95 in credit

  • Sell to Open: TTWO 27 Jun 215 Put

  • Buy to Open: TTWO 27 Jun 210 Put

  • Expiration Date: 6/27/2025

  • Minimum Credit: $0.95 (= $95 per spread)

  • Cash Needed: $500 per spread

  • Time in Trade: 41 days (if entered on 5/17/25)

  • ROI on Winning Trade: 23%

  • This is a bull put spread, which profits if TTWO stays above $215 through 6/27/25

  • Risk is limited and defined, since it’s a vertical spread


More on TTWO:

  • Posted messy earnings due to a one-time $3.5B goodwill impairment, but revenue slightly beat expectations

  • Confirmed that Grand Theft Auto VI will launch in May 2026, giving investors a clear date for the biggest catalyst in gaming

  • Stock held above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, even after earnings dip

  • Analyst ratings remain strong (average rating: buy), but current price targets leave room for future upgrades

  • Despite short-term uncertainty, technical support and bullish sentiment suggest upside stability

📈 Chart Note: The short put strike at $215 (blue horizontal line) sits just above the 50-day moving average, providing additional technical support.

Weekly Portfolio Update: As of May 17th, 2025

(2025 = 4 portfolios, 4 stocks)

Jon's YTD Return: -12.3%

S&P 500 YTD Return: -0.9% (5/16/25 closing price)

Reminder: Jon's "10K" strategy has outperformed the market by over 85% in the last 5 years.


2020-2024 Results - Jon's 10K Strategy

Jon's Weekly Trading Notes (5/12/25-5/16/25)

🧠 Jon’s Weekly Recap: A Tough Start, A Steady Climb

Markets ripped higher this week on news of a U.S.-China tariff “deal,” sending the S&P up 5.3% and the Nasdaq up 7%, their best week in over a month. DIS (+7.1%), QQQ (+6.9%), and IWM (+4.5%) all soared. But for my portfolios, the damage was done before the week even began.


Monday’s massive gap higher across all underlying's, combined with a sharp drop in implied volatility, resulted in a brutal 5.5% drop for the Composite, mostly in the opening minutes of the week. We were DOA before even thinking about our first trade.


But the rest of the week was a grind in the right direction:

  • All four portfolios posted four straight daily gains after Monday

  • I made 29 total trades, primarily rolling spreads and raising strikes to rebalance

  • Wiley Wolf rallied back +10% from Monday’s low

  • The Composite ultimately cut the week’s loss in half, closing down ~2.3%

Volatility continues to challenge the strategy, with tariff-driven price swings increasing dramatically, but IVs dropping, making it harder to extract premium value. My takeaway: widen strikes, keep exposure modest, and stay patient.


The strategy works best with contained moves — not gap-ups and collapsing IVs. We’re playing defense for now, and waiting for conditions to normalize.

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