Hello Friend
Sandown 'through the card notes'
Below I have repeated my 'through the card' notes for Sandown. Time allowing I am happy to go through a card for members on request, when they are off to the races, all part of the service :) I have done ok with this approach and more often than not land on a couple of winners. It tends to be that or a complete blowout, which will happen when you're spending 30-45 mins on an entire card, (I'd spend at least 45 mins on one run of the mill 3m+ handicap chase) attacking races you wouldn't usually touch.
When going to the races, if it's a 'day out', I do think it's important to change mindset - more to a 'I want winners' attitude, which invariably means focussing more on the top of the market than you otherwise would do. I rarely touch anything under 6/1 in my own daily punting, but when at the races will look at 3s-11/2 shots. I do struggle to go under 3/1, even when hunting for 'winners' (which is different from the long term value mindset you should adopt) and with that said, there are many shorties littering the Sandown card, that I've had to take on.
What follows are not tips, more a guide and some musings to use/ignore how you please/use as starting points to take a look yourselves. If nothing else hopefully an interesting read...
Let's see how they go, with a 'going' caveat at Sandown due to the weather- it's a bit of a guessing game as I type, hopefully no worse than Good...
from today's members' post... (those prices mentioned were correct at time of posting last night, generally available)
Sandown 'through the card notes'
Well, this looks a trappy card (yes yes, getting my excuses in early!) and there could be plenty of rain around- brilliant. Hopefully they don't get too much and it is good as a worst case- it's meant to have stopped by early morning. Anyway, there are a few below for Dan to follow/ignore, with some method and plenty of madness... this could be an evening for shorties, which means I'm screwed, as I can't help but take them on...
6.00- What A Welcome (2/1 though, one for the place pot, if he bolts up my 'taking on the favs' strategy will have started in the worst possible way)
Two at decent prices: Garbanzo 10s/ Psychotic 14s (both trainers do well here, both horses are unexposed)
6.35-
Wedding Date(team Hannon are 8/21,10p in this race in the last 21 years...rude not to have a go at 11/2!)
Blown By Wind (should be right up there/make all/if he breaks from wide... Johnston is 4/19,p in non handicaps at the track in last 2 years, worth bearing in mind for the rest of the card also, maybe!)
7.05-
Regal Reality / Gabr. (Stoute is 5/9,6p in this race... the fact he runs two here niggles at me, but those stats are impressive) Gabr's form ties in with...
Dream Today...who could be interesting at a big price if a1 after his break.
Vintager...hmm...I'm in danger of mentioning all the outsiders! I'd probably put £2.50 on each of those for fun, live with losing to the fav, a few pints if one comes in.
The fav probably hacks uphere but he's too short to back and you're at the races, you may as well take him on! (for small stakes probably, so that you can still enjoy the fav bolting up and seeing class in action, if that is what transpires)
7.35-
well, my shortlist of three.. Weekender (who could get a Frankie special from the front,and could dictate but 2/1), Magic Circle(hacked up LTO but not sure this will be run to suit over shorter trip) and... Time To Study...Moore is on which I thought interesting,they may race him more handy and the track may suit more than LTO. My £5 would probably go on him as he is the biggest price, and I just can't help myself. If one of those three does't win this will have been an abject attempt at race analysis!
8.10-
Fabricate... the only hope here I think is the lack of pace and the fact he is the only one who could lead. It isn't impossible Doyle can steal this from the front, so at 4/1 or so I'd have a nibble on him...surely all of these odds on shots/shorties won't win??! Again, don't fall off your seat if the fav bolts up in this one also.
8.40-
Kynren - 8s , will try and make all if he takes his chance...he does need rain to take sting out of ground and I suspect will be a NR if there isn't any.
Chief Of Chiefs...10s/12s, some very good C2 form last season, would be bang there if recapturing that. Excuses the last twice.
Mountain Angel...4s, the one I like from top of market, ok at 4s.
I don't have any strong views as to what I like most out of that pile...a decent priced winner of the first or last race should ensure not too much damage is done.
If I was pushed for a top three, sticking my finger in the air... Garbanzo, Blown By Wind, Chief Of Chiefs. Fingers crossed and we shall see how they get on.
All of this is on today's post HERE>>> and as always there are some interesting comments below from you good readers, no doubt a winner or two lurking in there.
Best of luck,
Josh
p.s I ave persuaded Ian, at SP2A, to open the doors again to his superb tipping service, another heavily discounted 3 month trial and money back guarantee. (our 3rd together, the other two have converted at around 70%) I will be emailing those on the waiting list first,Join HERE>>>, at around 12.30 today, and if there are any spaces left after that, I will email out to this general list on Friday and over the weekend. There are 63 on this waiting list and Ian has cautiously mused that he doesn't want more than 50 on this tranche, but I can usually persuade him to get up to 75 or so, but it's always best to be cautious, and he could say enough is enough at any point, to ensure prices are protected/his superb level of customer service is maintained. The worst thing you can do as a tipping service is recruit too many people in one go, so, while unlikely,after this trial period he may say enough is enough.
