Good Morning, Friend
Thursday's Stats Starting Points
As always I hope you're having a great week. There's a couple of trends handicap races on Saturday, The Portland Handicap from Doncaster the main focus, and I'll be cracking on with those this afternoon.
Below you can find some 'stats starting points' for today, posted in the Free Telegram Group last night. (join in the fun HERE >>>) 513 of you are now in this group, always plenty to ponder from those who post.
These angles are doing their job in terms of highlighting winners, a few losers and placed horses of course also. Yesterday a 7/2>9/4 winner for Sean Woods/Muscutt, an easy 7/2 winner for Hollinshead angle, 13/8 for HDB, and 4s>17/2 for Bowen angle. Having time to dive in deeper/landing on the right ones/judging value etc is the trickier bit of course! But half the fun.
With any luck the below may help you, adding some focus, a 'way in', and saving time...
Thursday's Stats Starting Points
(powered by the superb Geegeez Gold, and their 'reports angles' report, which can be set up how you please. Take your trial HERE>>>)
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Sir Michael Stoute / Ryan Moore, 3/5, 4p + 10 in last 14 days, 4/7,5p last 30 (Fox Legacy, 4.10 Donny). Hopefully not missed the boat, obv with news of SMS imminent retirement, think most jockeys, but esp Ryan, will be trying that bit harder, esp given respect/admiration latter has for former and role played in early career. Team may well have known for a while, horses will be tuned to minute, maybe. Market will adjust no doubt.
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Ian Williams/Joe Leavy , 3/6,3p + 4 last 3p days (4.50 Epsom). Jockey continues at 23% clip last 14 days, three rides Epsom (2.35, 4.50, 5.22), he's 2/6,4p all rides track.
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W S Kittow/Rob Hornby, 3/7,6p, +16 last 30 d, (5.22 Epsom). Trainer in good form generally, 4/12, 6p +21 last 14 days, all runners coming days worth second glance, poss one Sandown 13th, 5 25, poss x3 bath 14th/15th, Rob jocked up on one already (15th, 3.40 Bath), as he is on a couple Windsor 16th
Also in that 5.22, a few trainers in form, M Herrington (5/17, 7p +31 last 30 d), is also 14/50, 28p, +20 with LTO winners in prev 2 years (5.22, Between Me and U) Potential runners 14th-17th
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Kevin Ryan/O McSweeney, 2/5 last 30 days, +29 (7.30 Newc)
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James Owen/S D Bowen, 5/13,7p +13 last 30 (5.15 Donc)
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Haggas/Marquand, 6/19, 9p +22 last 14 days, cycle has to end at some point, no signs just yet (Donny, 1.50, 2.25, 4.40)
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Charlie Appleby generally does well LTO winner, 68/184, 99p +31 (AE 1.11), last 2 years (2.25, 3pm Donc)
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Brian Ellison/Ben Robinson ticking along still, 4/11,5p +13 last 14 days (8pm Newc)
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Peter Chapple Hyam, does well LTO winners also, small string, 7/20,8p + 8 last 2 years (4.10 Donc)
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Ed Waker/Saffie O, 2/6 +14 last 14d,(1.50 Donc)
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John & Thady do well Epsom, 8/24,11p +7 since junior on licence (4.20 Epsom) Stable #1 is at Donny.
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M Dods/Paul M, 2/6 +5 last 14d (8pm Newc)
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Menzies/K Fraser, 2/6 last 30d, +15 (8.30 Newc)
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Archie Watson/Hollie Doyle, stable jockey, do well at Newc, 28/86,44p +34 last 5 years, 11/49, 19p +5 last year. (4.25 Newc) Hollie has x5 rides on card, interesting not elsewhere/Donny? Not sure, if her retained owner doesn't want her, Archie has first dibs.
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Adrian Keatley, 5/17,7p Donny last year, +15 (5.15)
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I think that's enough for Thursday. As always, all the usual caveats, NOT tips, starting points/ways in for further pondering. Two of you could look at same horse/race and come to very different conclusions, inc on price/how to play. The great game. Good luck.
Thanks for reading,
All the best,
Josh
