Some success for my Kevin Ryan Hamilton micro yesterday, 1 winner from the 2, an angle worth noting for the future. Sadly Rathbone couldn't make it a double, falling out the stalls, game over. He had to use up a lot of energy to get into a competitive position and up the wrong part of the track/away from the action. I'll be surprised if he doesn't win again in the coming weeks, one to note.
We move on to Saturday. I've run out of time for a video preview but you can find my Saturday TV Trends & Trainer pointers post below, from my members' club. They're only ever a guide and a useful way in before further analysis. My trends shortlists have been doing well this season, plenty of winners to be found, as have the 'trainer lists' - those trainers to have won said race previously with runners this year. They tend to be creatures of habit and will target said races year after year.
Any 'H' refer to Horse Race Base ratings and denote if a horse is Top 4 in the race against their ratings. This post usually goes up Thursday afternoon/Friday lunch, giving you plenty of time to wade through. Let's crack on...
A trip to Market Rasen… and also some 'TV trainer pointers' for the other ITV races from Newbury...
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2.05 – Summer Handicap Hurdle
13/184, 43p
13/13 had 0-1 wins in handicap hurdles (2+ : 0/65, 7p)
13/13 had 0-4 places (inc wins) in handicap hurdles (5+ ; 0/45, 6p)
12/13 had 0-3 hurdles wins (4+ : 1/58, 8p)
11/13 had 0-5 runs in handicap hurdles (11/98, 28p)
10/13 sent off 8/1 or shorter SP (10/61, 24p)
10/13 had 0-1 run over a longer distance (10/85, 26p)
Trainers
- X1: NTD, P Nicholls, S Leech, P Webber, I Jardine, Dr Newland, C Mann, D O’Meara, E Williams, S Gollings, D Skelton
- D Pipe: 0/12,1p, P Bowen 0/8,1p
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Applying the trends…
Well a profile of 0-5 runs in handicap hurdles, 0-4 places in handicap hurdles, 0-1 wins in handicap hurdles and 0-1 run over a longer distance would point to 9/13 winners, (9/54 runners, 20p) and IF upholding would point to six…
Camprond H2, Wicked West H4, Voice of Calm, Red Force One, Stonific, Ambassador
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Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
- Wicked West H4
- Stonific, Ingleby Hollow
- Ambassador
- Goa Lil
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2.40 – Summer Plate Handicap Chase
13/198, 46p
13/13 highest class win was class 2 or 3 (was not: 0/67, 15p)
13/13 had 1-3 runs in prev 90 days (had not: 0/57, 10p)
11/13 ran left handed last start (RH: 2/65, 10p)
10/13 placed on last start (did not: 3/90, 14p)
Other
- Horse ran at Market Raasen last start (0/31, 2p)
Trainers
- P Bowen: 2/23, 7p
- Jonjo O’Neill: 2/17, 5p
- X1: D Skelton, L Hill, Dr Newland, N Henderson, D Pipe, NTD, P Nicholls, A Murphy
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Applying the trends…
They’re not overly helpful here but a profile of highest class win being C3 or C2, 1-3 runs prev 90 days, ran LH on last start, leaves 11/13 (11/52 runners, 18p) and points to a longer list of nine…
Captain Tom Cat H1, Solomon Grey, Darling Maltaix, Mercian Prince H2, Danse Idol, Pink Eyed Pedro, Exelerator Express H4, Topofthecotswolds, Templepark
Placing on last start is a positive and six of those did so…
Captain Tom Cat H1, Darling Maltaix, Mercian Prince H2, Danse Idol, Pink Eyed Pedro, Templepark
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Trainers (to have won race, with runners)
- Captaion Tom Cat H1
- Solomon Grey, Danse Idol
- Darling Maltaix
- Francky Du Berlais H3 , Lord Bryan
- Mercian Prince H2
- Topofthecotswolds
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Other ITV Races Trainer Pointers
Those to have won race with runners in this year's renewal..
1.50 Newbury
- derab
- Solid Stone H1
- Real World H2
- Movin Time
- Fox Tal
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3.00 Newbury
- Tabdeed
- Happy Romance H3
- Royal Commando
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3.40 Newbury
- Vintage Clarets H1
- Gubbass, Symphony Perfect, Zoltan Star, Raging, Desert, Banner Moonshine
- Sienna Bonnie
- Amazonian Dream
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Hopefully they help you find a winner or two.
GL with any bets as always,
Josh
