Hello Friend,
Below you can find some of my members' content, free of charge of course. In this week's 'Saturday's ITV Trends & Trainers' post I've looked at three of the big handicaps.
You can find the stats and trends below, followed by the 'application' of said trends and any relevant shortlists.
These are always just a guide of course but between the trends shortlist and the trainers lists, they do throw up plenty of winners. As always, just a case of landing on the right ones!!
Where you see a 'H' (H1, H2, H3, H4) that refers to HorseRaceBase ratings, which I add as a further help. The top 3 rated in all handicaps tend to include around 55% of winners, a useful guide of sorts, but only that of course.
Next week I'll start sending you some Festival stats which may help land on a few winners.
Thanks for putting up with my 'The Plumber' chat. We've only got x5 shares left now I think (87.5% sold) and are assembling another fine bunch of owners.
You can join them HERE >>>
or email me: rtpsyndicate@gmail.com
Let's crack on...
Big Race Trends
2.25 Ascot – Swinley Chase
11/86, 28p
10/11 had 1 or 2 handicap chase wins (0: 1/19, 4p; 3+ : 0/19,4p)
9/11 had 1 or 2 handicap wins (0: 0/15,2p; 3+ ; 2/40, 8p)
8/11 had run at G1 level in career (8/41, 19p, +27)
5/11 ran 21-25 days ago (5/14, runners, 8p)
Other
Trainers
V Williams: 2/10,2p
X1: NTD, A Hales, D Skelton, R Dickin, N Mulholland, G Moore, D Pipe, P Hobbs, A Honeyball
2.40 Haydock – GN Trial
14/177, 44p
14/14 had 2-4 chase wins (0-1: 0/25,3p; 5+ : 0/26, 6p)
14/14 had 1+ handicap chase wins (0: 0/34, 3p)
14/14 had 0-5 runs in Grade 3s (6+ : 0/36, 5p)
14/14 had 0-2 places in Grade 3s (3+ ; 0/28, 5p)
13/14 had won over 3m2f or further (had not: 1/70, 13p)
9/14 Top 2 LTO (9/74, 27p)
Other
Trainers
L Russel: 3/7, 3p
V Williams: 2/16, 6p
X1: C Tizzard, R Hobson, D Pipe, G Moore, V Dartnall, K Lee, A Hales
3.00 Ascot – C2 Hncp H
14/186, 45p
14/14 aged 8 or younger (9+ : 0/28, 4p)
14/14 had never won at Sandown (had: 0/36, 8p)
14/14 had 0-3 hurdles wins (4+ : 0/24, 2p)
12/14 had 2 or 3 runs in prev 90 days (0-1: 2/66, 8p; 4+ : 0/16, 4p)
11/14 had won at least once last three starts (had not: 3/78, 18p) Â
10/14 had never run at Sandown previously
Other
Trainers
Dr Newland: 2/4, 2p
P Nicholls: 2/13, 3p
X1: N Henderson, P Bowen, D Pipe, H Fry, L Wadham, D McCain, N King, N Gifford, D Skelton, NTD
*
Applying The Trends
2.25 Ascot
The trends are only so helpful here but a profile of 1-2 handicap wins, and 1-2 handicap chase wins, leaves 8/11 (8/27 runners, 16p), inc the last x4 winners, and IF upholding would point to…
Caribean Boy H4, Truckers Lodge, Hold That Taught, Sojourn.
None of them tick the other pointers. Running at G1 level has been a positive, and two in the field have done that at least once in their careers…
Fiddlerontheroof, Regal Encore
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
Larry
Hold That Taught
Regal Encore
2.40 Haydock
The 14/14 stats, while some are not the most robust, leave 14/14 (14/92, 30p) and IF upholding would point to six…
Secret Reprieve, Enqarde H3, Time To Get Up, The Galloping Bear, Sidi Ismael, Kalooki
A win over 26f+ previously in career has been a big positive, and only Kalooki of those above falls down on that front.
A top two finish LTO has been a positive (rather than a negative for not doing so)… Enqarde, The Galloping Bear
Trainers
Lord Du Mesnil H4
Sidi Ismael
3.00 Ascot
Looking at a profile of aged 8 or younger, having never won at Sandown, 0-3 runs in hurdles and 2 or 3 runs in the prev 90 days would point to 12/14 (12/71 runners, 28p) and IF upholding, would point to five…
Good Risk At All, Zacony Rebel H3, Ballybegg, Small Bad Bob H2, Lucky One
Showing some recent winning form at least once on last three starts has been a positive…
Zacony Rebel H3, Ballybegg, Small Bad Bob H2
Trainers
Cap Du Mathan H4
Lucky One
*
That's all for today. Fingers crossed the above helps you land on a winner or two, the ITV7 or the placepot. Or maybe there's a reverse forecast lurking there.
Best of luck,
Josh
