Subject: Punchestown: Profitable Trainers Pointers & Day 1 Quals


Good Afternoon Friend

I hope you're keeping well. 

The Punchestown Festival  2021 

Below you can find a few trainer pointers for this week's Punchestown Festival. The stats focus on the previous eight Festivals to have been run. There are angles for Gordon Elliot, Jessie Harrington, Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins. And a handful of trainers who've done well with their handicappers from very few runners. Finally, at the bottom you can find 'qualifiers' for Day 1. Best of luck with any bets and hopefully the below is useful to you, especially as a 'way in'...



TRAINER POINTERS

Stats for the previous eight Festivals

Gordon Elliot (Denise Foster)
  • NH Flat Races
  • Horse had 0 career runs
29 bets (20 races) / 6 wins / 11p / 21% sr / +30 SP / +54 BFSP / BF AE 2.06

**

Jessie Harrington #1
  • All ‘hurdle’ races (as defined by Horse Race Base ‘race type’, exc novice, maidens, handicaps – focus on open graded, conditions races)
24 bets (19 races) / 6 wins / 8p / 25% sr / +67 SP / +171 BFSP / BF AE 2.77

**

Jessica Harrington #2
  • Handicaps
  • Distance: 16-16.5 f & 21f
47 bets (29 races) / 10 wins / 22p / 21% sr /  +61 SP / +81 BFSP / BF AE 2.75

Of note, from within this angle…
  • Aged 4-7: 33 bets / 9 wins / 16p / 27% sr / +67 SP / +86 BFSP / BF AE 3.38
  • Horse had 0 wins in national hunt handicap type: 30 bets / 10 wins / 15p / 33% sr / +78 SP / +98 BFSP / BF AE 3.97
**

Nicky Henderson
  • Aged 6+
  • Ran in a Class 1 race last time out
23 bets / 7 wins / 12p / 30% sr / +28 SP / +50 BFSP / BF AE 1.79

**

Willie Mullins
  • Aged 4 or 5
197 bets (116 races) / 49 wins / 92p / 25% sr / +126 SP / +223 BFSP / BF AE 1.56

Of note, from within this angle…
  • Horse had RUN at G1 level in career at least once: 89 bets / 27 wins / 48p / 30% sr / +86 SP / +142 BFSP / BF AE 1.71
  • Jockey = Patrick Mullins : 39 bets / 15 wins / 25p / 38% sr / +33 SP / +53 BFSP / BF AE 1.62
*

Handicap Trainers

Those yards to have had 2+ winners in handicaps in the period and where it has been profitable to back all. To use as a ‘way in’…
  • All handicaps
  • Trainers: G Cromwell, L Cusack, J P Dempsey, E P Harty, N Henderson, P Hobbs, S T Nolan
75 bets (51 races) / 15 wins / 25p / 20% sr / +120 SP / +230 BFSP / BF AE 2.73

**

DAY 1 'QUALIFIERS'


3.40
  • Fighting Fit (hncp trainers)
  • You Say Nothing (hncp trainers)
  • Ya Ya Baby (Jessie #2)
4.15
  • Echoes In Rain (W Mullins)
4.50
  • Exit Poll & Polished Steel (Jessie #2)
  • Gentleman De Mee (W Mullins)
  • Kilfenora (hncp trainers)
5.55
  • Adamantly Chosen & Hemlock (W Mullins)
  • Laffite & Nonbinding (G Elliot)
7.35
  • Hara Kiri (W Mullins)
  • Whatcoloristhwind (G Elliot)
*

All the best, 

Josh 


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