Hello Friend
I've just published a report for my members looking at Nigel Twiston-Davies, specifically in September/October, which is a time of year he always targets. I thought i'd share some of it with you. As I write it would appear the yard are in fine form and in truth all his runners are worth some attention in the coming weeks.
My report takes a look at his handicap chasers, non handicappers and his handicap hurdlers. Below you can find some pointers for his handicap hurdlers. I'll be posting 'qualifiers' from the four micros in my members' posts as I do every year, but they shouldn't take too long to find.
The following stats focus on Nigel Twiston-Davies' runners in September/October, since the start of 2014>>>
Handicap Hurdles/Handicap Novice Hurdles
The top level stats for these don’t look the best….
87 bets / 15 wins / 17% sr / 33p / -20 SP / -16 BFSP / AE 0.94
Odds
Those handicap hurdlers that are relatively fancied, based on SP, have been the place to focus: -
- 11/2 or shorter SP: 50 bets / 14 wins / 28p / 28% sr / +6 SP / +10 BFSP / AE 1.12
- 6/1+ SP: 37 bets / 1 win / 5 p / -26 SP
…which leads to…
Micro 1
• Sept/Oct
• Handicap Hurdle/Handicap Novice Hurdle
• Finished Top 4 LTO
• 11/2 < SP
56 bets / 12 wins / 25p / 33% sr / +11 SP / +14 BFSP / AE 1.29
Micro 2
• Sept/Oct
• Handicap Hurdle/Handicap Novice Hurdle
• 2m 4.5f or shorter
• 11/2 < SP
29 bets / 12 wins / 19p / 41% sr / +15 SP / +17 BFSP / AE 1.48
They’ll obviously be some cross over between the two but as a ‘way in’ for NTDs handicap hurdlers at this time of year, they’re worth keeping onside. If you're able to take morning odds, those results would be further improved.
That's all for today, Best of luck, Josh |
