Hello Friend
It has been a quiet (code-rubbish) week on the punting from since 'tipping' up a 14/1 winner six days ago to members.
My Pace Wins The Race test has had an indifferent start - all three picks to date may still be running!
This is my attempt to find value priced front runners that may get out and lead all the way in their races. I will get there at some point and it is a test for a reason.
Today I have fired three more bullets. You can find those below.
Before I get to those I have also started to pull together some trainer micro systems we can follow on the Flat this summer.
To kick off I have had a look at John Gosden and Saeed Bin Suroor; specifically their record with horses returning after 60 days or more off the track.
You can flick through this short report HERE>>>
There is one qualifier today...
2.15 Ling - Emirates Flight (14/1<)
PACE WINS THE RACE (TEST)
(running total: 0/3,0p, -3)
Not the best of starts so far but with any luck one or more of the following may get me on the scoreboard...
3.20 Ling - Stepper Point - 1 point win - 6/1 (gen)
3.35 Chester- Diamonds Pour Moi - 1 point win - 11/1 (PP/BV) 10/1 (gen)
8.15 Ripon- Mysterial - 1 point win - 6/1 (gen)
Stepper Point - he has been in decent form and used to be fairly smart. His recent runs suggests he possesses plenty of ability still. He gets a visor on for the first time and that may spark him up some more. He didn't run too well LTO but that can happen with sprinters and maybe he did too much or just had an off day. He is drawn one off the rail here and his chances could depend on what Edward Lewis does. I hope Dwyer gets a fast start and gets over to the rail, as if he does I can see him staying there all the way. There are some younger legs in here that may prevail but the draw/pace set up has lured me in at 6/1.
Diamonds Pour Moi - me playing in a stakes race is asking for trouble and I will no doubt get a deserved bloody nose but this one likes to get on with it usually/race prominently. Given she is drawn in 1 I hope they attempt to make all. She was in form when last seen and has a decent record fresh. This trip also threatens to bring out more and she gets 3lbs off the boys. I find it of some interest she is pitched in here. Some of the more fancied ones are drawn wide and will need a bit of luck. She may well be good enough but on only her 4th start, there should be more to come at some point. The expected shower would help her chance. Hopefully Murphy plays catch me if you can.
Mysterial- well he should definitely get the lead here and if something takes him on/is ahead of him, they will be going too quick and both their chances will be compromised. He is running well enough and I expect him to build up a lead here, slow it down at some point, and then kick for home. The is a slight stamina question but he ran well over 15f the last day and is yet to prove he doesn't stay beyond 14f given he hasn't tried it many times. A few in here are unproven at the trip/may need the run. The Given horse looks the main danger and may out-stay him late on. But, hopefully as they enter the final couple of furlongs he will have built up a lead/saved a bit and will plod over the line. I expect it may be an agonising last hundred yards and given how my week has gone will probably get collared on the line! Ever the optimist.
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I plan to have a look at the Victoria Cup on Saturday and attempt to kick my other test into gear. Plenty to learn still, but hopefully some of you enjoy the journey.
Look out for that email tomorrow. In the meantime hopefully one of those Pace test tips can hit the board.
All the best Josh | 