Subject: Galway Plate Trends + Goodwood Trainer Pointers



Good Morning Friend

Below you can find my stats, trends and trainer pointers for Galway's big race of the week, and a few 'trainer pointers' for today's racing from Goodwood. All a potentially useful 'starting point/way in' to help you land on a winner or two. 

If you missed my latest video you can watch it here >>> 

With any luck I say something you can apply to your own thinking/betting, that may help you win even more long term. 

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The Galway Plate

13/281, 52p

13/13 had 0-2 runs this season (3+ ; 0/43, 3p)

13/13 ran over 2m6f or shorter LTO (further: 0/72, 11p)

12/13 had 2-5 runs this calendar year (did not: 1/95, 15p)

12/13 had 1+ run in this Grade 1/A (0: 1/51, 7p)

11/13 aged 8 or younger (aged 9+: 2/125, 15p)

11/13 sent off 16/1 or shorter SP (bigger; 2/137, 9p)

11/13 had 1+ win in the last 365 days (0: 2/89, 10)

11/13 had never won beyond the Plate distance (had: 2/98, 16p)

10/13 had 0 wins in handicap chases (1+ , 3/136, 22p)

9/13 top 2 at least once last three starts

9/13 ran at Punchestown or Killarney LTO (9/99, 27p)

7/13 ran in Novice or Maiden race LTO (7/42, runners, 15p)

Trainers
  • Gordon Elliot (Denise Foster): 3/27, 5p
  • Henry De Bromhead: 2/26, 3p
  • X1: C McBratney, J Kiely, T Mullins, N Meade, Joseph O’Brien, P Nicholls, TJ Taffe, W Mullins
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Applying the trends

A profile of horses aged 8 or younger, 0-2 runs this season, 1+ run at Grade A/1 level, 2-5 runs this calendar year and ran over 2m6f or shorter LTO, would point to 10/13 (10/67 runners, 22p) inc every winner since 2013 and IF upholding would point to a shortlist of six…

The Shunter H1, Assemble, Battleoverdoyen, Easy Game, Mitchouka, Annamix

All but Mitchouka ran at Punchy or Killarney LTO which is a positive also.

Those that ran in a maiden or novice LTO has been a positive. Snugsborugh Hall is the only one to have done in the field

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Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
  • A Wave of The Sea, Top Moon, Assemble, Darasson, Home By The Lee
  • Pont Aven, Royal Rendezvous, Koshari H4, Brahma Bull H3, Easy Game, Livelovelaugh, Annamix
  • Somptuex, Visioman
  • Battleoverdoyen, Samcro
  • Snow Falcon
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Goodwood Day 2 Trainer Pointers

Horses representing trainers to have won said race where data exists in HRB, suggesting they ‘may’ have targeted the race again and know the type required to win it… whether said horse is good enough/handles conditions etc is another question!… 🙂

1.50
  • Kolisi
  • Kings Prince, Glen Again, Annandale, Chase The Dollar
  • Recovery Run

2.25
  • Sacred 

3.00
  • Kaboo

3.35
  • Lope Y Fernandez
  • Alcohol Free H2 G2
  • Order of Australia

5.20
  • Magical Wish
  • Internationaldream

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As always, good luck with any bets, 

Josh 
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