Hello Friend
News on yesterday's 7 winners and free Members post for you all...
Well firstly- wow, what a Saturday. I think that was the best Saturday, and possibly best day, ever on the blog.
There were 3 winners on the free post from the trainer micro angles at 16/1, 5/2 and 10/1. And in the Members post there were a further three winners, from just 7 possible bets, at 9/2, 4/1 and 2/1.
This included the 89/1 1,2,3 in the 1.50 Ffos Las and a 10/1 1,2 at Market Rasen. I would be lying if I said I was on the first of those!
That little lot made around +34 points if backing them all to 1 point win bets, and there was also the 6/1 win of By The Boardwalk who was given a mention but annoyingly not tipped. Bottled that one. (so between £680 and £800 if betting in 20s)
Anyway one of you is happy since he started reading the blog...Michael posted a comment today...
"I started following your comments/selections on Oct. 05. I made 12.13 pts in WEEK 1 and so far, half way through WEEK 2, 50.78 pts, i.e. 62.91pts in 11 days. What can I say! Superb Josh! Thanks so much! Michael"
In fairness it was about time I researched some trainer angles that delivered and now the jumps has returned it looks like I have done just that. But, time will tell. So far so good. Hopefully any longer, long suffering readers, have tucked in over the last couple of weeks. It appears to be worth the read again after an awful summer.
I am in such a good mood that I thought I would send you all today's Members Only post from Kempton.
The weather is playing havoc a bit and as I write I don't know what the ground will be but these are the notes that Members will have read today.
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TODAY'S MEMBERS POST
3 good winners on Saturday at 9/2, 2/1 and 4/1 including the 89/1 1-2-3 in one race (and no i didn't do the tri-cast) and the 10/1 1-2 in another race also. +6.5 points or so if you had just backed all 7 runners.
Onto Kempton...
KEMPTON
2.30
Tindaro (hncp c) (note...these brackets refer to which part of stats guide the horse qualifies against) 9/1
Lemon's Gent (hncp c) 12/1
NOTE:(I add further notes with any other stats that catch my eye- mainly trainer form etc) both... Webber is 0/7, 1 place last 14 days, can't really read much into that. Tindaro...has since run on flat abroad but won well before that and is a course winner. The two horses that finished behind him that day in 2nd and 3rd have since won 3 races between them, so some substance to summer form I suppose. Does like to lead, as does Lemon's Gent and quite a few others in here also.
Lemon's Gent...trainer is 9/77,21 places handicap chasers 60+ days off, BUT... 3/9, 5 places with such runners at Kempton. Horse is 2/9, 4 places after 60+ days off. Stays further , unexposed, and with possible pace in here could be of some interest maybe. Does step up in class.
No stats/profile reason why you wouldn't be interested in either I don't think, just then a more subjective question of form etc. Given the odds I suspect I will have a nibble on both.
3.35
Cowards Close (hncp c) 7/2
NOTE: Gordon 0/13, 3 places last 14 days. He is 2/4,3 places with handicap chasers here returning after breaks of 60+ days. Horse is 2/7, 3 places after breaks 60+ days, all runs... those wins were for Nicholls. His rating is 110 now...IF he ever regains any form, given previous marks of 130, he is going to dot up. He could just have regressed though. This may be the best time to catch him, we shall see. 7/2 may be short given his form? Money seems to have come as soon as opened up, put in at 6s.
BONUS (refers to bonus stats- Ireland and Novice Handicap Chases)
4.45
Valseur Du Granval (George 4/6 here in novice handicap chases) 9/4
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My View:(a summary of my thinking, for what it is worth. Starting point is whether there is a standout reason I want to be against a stats pick. We have done well at avoiding plenty of losers so far. But, readers use the notes as they please) Well there is no stand out stat etc that would put me straight off any of those three main bets above. I will be having something on all three I suspect- Cowards Close has a bit in his favour IF you can ignore recent form. The break may have done him good and the market may guide. But, that is just me.
Good luck what/if you play on anything
Enjoy the rest of your weekend,
Josh
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We shall see how they get on!
(that is the main part of the Membership package but there is more, including a monthly research article and big meeting trainer notes)
Over 130 of you have signed up now which is great. A couple have left after 3 weeks or so as it is not for them. Fair enough. You know within a month. But in general I think everyone is happy with the progress, winners, and profits so far. Long may it continue!
All the best Josh
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