01/08/15

6.30 Ling Eastern Dragon 

Ideal Cond. Class 5 or 6, 16-30 days 

Form in Cond. 1,1,1 7,5 (1/15, 4 places outside) 

Positives. He has his conditions and all race conditions look fine. He is 5lb below his last winning mark 

Negatives. Been in and out of form this season, running well on his penultimate start. A repeat of that would see him get competitive here. He is 0/5, 0 places when 14/1+, has placed up to 12/1, with all wins when 8/1 or shorter. 

My Verdict. 1 point win 12/1 PP (10/1 general) It may be prudent to see if there is market support as if he drifts beyond 12/1 I would be concerned. His mark is such that he should strike at some point as he does know how to win. 

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Non Qualifiers 

-Slip Sliding Away (2.00 Goodwood) 

-Amitious Icarus/Ballesteros/Colonel Mak

-Evanescent/Green Howard (3.35 Thirsk) 

-Another Wise Kid (3.45 Good) 

-Economic Crisis (8.15 Hamilton) - She has done her job for us really but returns to her favoured conditions here. She is 0/17, 2 places when OR71+, but is only 1lb above her last winning mark. She is also 0/19, 5 places after July, and doesn't have a usual 'winning' jockey on board. There is also competition for the lead here. I am happy to leave alone although a return to form here wouldnt be a total surprise. 

-Jordaura 

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Josh