Subject: Can Colt Lightening Strike?

Hello Friend

Firstly i'd like to wish you all a very happy, healthy and prosperous New Year. 

Secondly, below I have repeated my only 'tip' today from my Members' Post. These 'notes' horses are where I attempt to use all of the trainer stats qualifiers as a starting point and home in on those that look most interesting to my eyes. 

They have been doing ok since I started with this approach on the 1st September...

175 tips / 31 wins / +111.75 points / +£1117.50 to £10 bets / 64% ROI 

I don't think i'll be maintaining a 64% return on investment but i'll be trying to. 

Anyway, today's tip is below. The starting point was a Tom Lacey angle i researched and that we are tracking in the 'test zone'...

Test/trial  : 'NOTES'  (01/09/17-) (31/175, +111.75) (1 point win bets)

NOTES


3.10 Warwick - Colt Lightening - 6/1 (gen)

One from the test zone today but if you just backed every Lacey qualifier that had this sort of profile you'd do just fine over time. Well, that's what the evidence suggests so far. This one is unexposed over hurdles and is doing a couple of things different - namely making handicap hurdle debut (trainer 8/25,12p with hncp debutants,+36 - a micro in itself) and the horse moves up in trip by 3f, which is another of Lacey's successful methods. He drops into a class 5 here and 'could be anything' now he goes handicapping. He could just be moderate and his mark needs to come down a few more pounds. Or he has plenty in hand. Heavy ground is an unknown to most in here but he has been pitched into a very weak race on paper. Lacey continues in fine form also, 6/21,10 places in the last 30 days, 4/10,6p the last 14. Fair to say they are going well. He ticks all the boxes here for the 'magic formula' (stats qualifier/unexposed/what is the horse doing differently?) and at 6s is a must for me. I get the impression he'll be winning a weak handicap soon enough (Carlisle run two starts ago looked 'interesting' and last race looked decent enough, he kept going at least), possibly on better ground, but i'm guessing there. Price, in the context of his profile/this race, allows the play.

*

All the best 
Josh 




You may unsubscribe or change your contact details at any time.