Good Morning, Friend
Below I've repeated my trends profile and shortlists for the 2.25 Ascot today. This approach does well over time and has shortlisted a fair few winners of big handicaps already, including last week's Betfair Hurdle. Of course, assuming my unique trends work (not always the case of course) the challenge after that is to land on the right one. I'll leave that to you...
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2.25 Ascot
16/209, 51p
16/16 aged 8 or younger (older: 0/31, 5p)
16/16 had 12< hurdle starts (13+ : 0/38, 7p)
16/16 had 0 track wins (1+ : 0/37, 8p)
15/16 carried 11-5 or less (exc claims) (11-6+ : 1/38, 8p)
14/16 had 2-3 runs in prev 90 days (did not: 2/91, 15p)
14/16 had 1+ run this calendar year (0: 2/67, 8p)
13/16 had 2-4 runs this season (did not: 3/99, 15p)
Trainers
P Nicholls: 3/16, 5p
Dr Newland: 2/5,2p
x1: P Bowen, N Henderson, D Skelton, N King, S Thomas, L Wadham, D Pipe, N Gifford, D McCain, NTD, Harry Fry
Applying the trendsā¦
The three 16/16 stats, IF upholding, would āremoveā just six, leaving a longlist of tenā¦
Rare Edition, Rambo T, Bad, Hyland, Issam, Santos Blue, Jay Jay Reilly, Arqoob, Ostend, In The Air
From that list, Rare Edition and Jay Jay Reilly carry more than 11-5 which hasnāt been the easiest in recent renewals. (1/38,8p)
Of those remaining 8, those with 2-3 runs in prev 90 days has been a positive, and IF upholding would point to 14/16 winners and a shortlist of fiveā¦
Bad, Rambo T, Issam, Santos Blue, Arqoob .
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
Irish Hill (last yearās winner)
Hyland
Santos Blue, Jay Jay Reilly, Le Milos
Arqoob
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As always, use, abuse, ignore those as you please! Hopefully they may help you land on a winner,
Good luck with any bets,
Josh
