Subject: December Newsletter - A look at the next year in music

Hi Friend,

Welcome to my December Newsletter.

This has actually been a pretty eventful year in the music business, and one of growth as well. I'll go over all that in a blog post soon, but let's look at what the music industry may have in store for us in 2017.

The Music Industry Is Technology Driven
Sure, it all comes down to the music first, but of all the different areas of the entertainment business, music is the first (besides the porn industry, of course) to jump on something new and adapt it to its needs. This is historically true going back more than a 100 years, and still true today. Let's look at just a couple of technologies that we'll see more of next year.

1. VR for live events. If you can't be there in person, the next best thing is to virtually be there in the comfort of your home or apartment. Venues big and small are experimenting with this now, and look for an increase in adoption next year.

2. Wearable tech as tickets. Both Radiohead and Taylor Swift began the trend with radio-controlled wristbands, but we may soon see some sort of wearable tech that completely replaces the paper ticket. Thanks to beacon and RFID technology, it's easier to implement than you think.

Evolving Music Distribution
3. Streaming finally takes off. We saw a big jump in streaming revenues worldwide this year (over 112% in the US alone!), and that's going to increase even more next year as more and more people begin to pay for their music. Big question - how much will trickle down to artists and songwriters?

4. Look for consolidation. It's starting to look bad for Pandora and SoundCloud, so don't be surprised if they no longer exist by the end of next year. Deezer and Tidal as well. That will leave us with Spotify, Apple, Amazon and Google as the major music distributors.

5. But Spotify could be on shaky ground. Yes, it has the most paying subscribers, but doesn't have deep pockets compared to the competition, has lots of anxious investors, and hasn't made a dime of profit yet. If its IPO doesn't go well next year, don't be surprised if one of the remaining 3 make a play to acquire it.

On The Legislative Front
6. Some laws may change in music's favor. Lobbyists for both copyright reform and artist performance royalties feel that the Trump administration will be more sympathetic to their causes than the Obama administration, which was generally thought to have too cozy a relationship with Google and Silicon Valley.

7. Marijuana laws change venue dynamics. It won't happen in 2017 or even a few years beyond, but at some point venues will augment alcohol sales with pot. Will it increase listener enjoyment? It has in the past ; )

Music's Latest Trend
8. We're overdue. The trend in music changes every 8 years or so (sometimes more, sometimes a little less), and popular music has been riding the EDM trail for too long. Look for something to break this year, but as always, it will start quietly in the underground first. Keep your ears open.
The Bottom Line
The music business has been in the doldrums for almost 10 years now, but 2016 feels like we've finally turned the corner. Look to 2017 to continue the trend, with some surprises along the way.

If you've read through to the end, you now know a little more about our Music 4.0 world than the majority of people in the music business today. Aren't you glad you subscribed to my list?
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See you next month!

Bobby
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