Subject: When You've Made the Sale, Stop Selling

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Tavakoli Structured Finance LLC
Allow me to issue and control a nation’s money, and I care not who makes the laws.”
Mayer Amschel Rothschild
When You've Made the Sale, Stop Selling

October 13, 2023
 
After a horrific attack on Israeli civilians, the USA supports Israel’s attempt to eradicate the terrorist organization known as Hamas. We know there will be (likely wildly disproportionate) collateral damage. That’s war. Bill Ackman could have taken the political win. Instead, he has to be RIGHT, and it didn’t go well. What did he expect?
 
How can Bill’s argument be made more compelling?
 
I know! Let’s amend the Constitution to say that an American life is worth 2.8% of an Israeli life! Then all Americans will appreciate Bill’s point!
 
Via Twitter:
 
Bill Ackman’s argument: For context on what is to come, ask yourself how the U.S. would respond if 2,500 Mexican terrorists invaded Texas, brutally killed 1,200 of our citizens including women, children, and babies — raping decapitating and burning them alive — and kidnapped 150 more, including infants.
 
Karl Denninger’s response: We'd do nothing. Because we haven't, and they have. They're just buried in the several million, and NOBODY CARES. Literally NOBODY cares Bill, including YOU.
 
Bill Ackman’s argument: Now adjust the numbers to reflect our 35.5 times larger population: What if 42,600 Americans were killed and 5,325 were kidnapped? How would we respond?
 
Karl Denninger’s response: We'd bomb some other nation, rather than the one who did it. Just like we did after 9/11.
Fifty Years in Wall Street
 
I’ve been restoring Henry Clews’s Fifty Years in Wall Street (1908). I have the original book, but the pages have yellowed, and the hinge is cracked. One can download a pdf of the original for free—public domain—from archive.org. Among the gems in this book is an address he gave to Yale students in 1907. If I ever have to give such a speech to students, I’ll adapt his speech of advice to young men starting out in life.
 
Clews’s story of Commodore Vanderbilt’s short squeeze was fictionalized in “Face the Music,” the third episode of HBO’s The Gilded Age.
 
For my own purposes, I split the book into two parts: Part One and Part Two. I added a table of date of birth, date of death, and age at death of the men illustrated in the original book. I added the dates of birth and death to each photo. Otherwise, I  couldn’t keep all the generations of Roosevelts, Vanderbilts, Clewses, Astors, and Rothschilds straight.
American Culture Is Eurocentric

Multiculturalism is a lie or rather a series of lies: the lie that European-American culture is uniquely oppressive; the lie that culture has been formed to preserve the dominance of heterosexual white males; and the lie that other cultures are equal to the culture of the West. What needs to be said is that no other cultures are equal to the culture of the West. What needs to be said is that no other culture in the history of the world has offered the individual as much freedom, as much opportunity to advance; no other culture has permitted homosexuals, non-whites, and women to play ever-increasing roles in the economy, in politics, in scholarship, in government. What needs to be said is that American culture is Eurocentric, and it must remain Eurocentric or collapse into nothingness. Standards of European and American origin are the only possible standards that can hold our society together and keep a competent nation. If the legitimacy of Eurocentric standards is denied, there is nothing else. There are no standards from any other quarter of the globe that we can agree upon. Islam cannot provide standards for us, nor can Africa or the Far East. Yet a single set of standards is essential to a sense of what authority is legitimate, what ideal must be maintained. The alternative to Eurocentrism, then, is fragmentation and chaos.
 
—Robert Bork (Slouching Towards Gomorrah, 1996, P. 311)

3rd Edition

Released February 23, 2022

"Tavakoli's research work has been endorsed by, for example, the late Nobel prize winner, Merton Miller, and the "Big Short" hedge fund manager, Michael Burry."

Intelligent Commodity Investing

Via Reddit: Reconstructing Burry's Research Process

Michael Burry, Interview by the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission,May 18, 2010/

From FCIC staff audiotape of interview with Michael Burry, Cornwall Capital[between timestamps 1:36:20 and 1:38:40]:

" ... It was a dark market. I was onto WorldCom pretty early and they went from investment grade to bankrupt overnight ... I wondered why I didn't make more money on this ... it hit me that's the way to short companies ... and I noted there was a lot of these highly rated super leveraged companies where you could buy credit default swaps ... and so I bought books ... Janet Tavakoli's 1998 book, and that was the first book I read ... I didn't take all those equations and apply them ... but I got the basics of the market from that."
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