Subject: [SHC] Dr. Gene Lindsey's Healthcare Musings Newsletter 18 May 2018

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18 May 2018

Dear Interested Readers,


Truth and Honor, and Personal Responsibility

Have you ever noticed how certain themes keep coming up? This week I have heard two programs and read a couple of articles about psychedelic drugs. It did not take me long to realize that Michael Pollan's publishers were doing such a great job of keeping the subject in front of me that I almost went to Amazon to order a copy of Pollan’s new book when it came out on Tuesday, How to Change Your Mind: What the New Science of Psychedelics Teaches Us About Consciousness, Dying, Addiction, Depression, and Transcendence.

The other subject that keeps coming up for me is truth, or if you prefer, honesty. There are obviously many other connected subjects like facts, honor, and character. Discussions of the opposites to truth like lies, dishonesty, fake news and manipulation of facts are also quite ubiquitous. These subjects quickly lead to discussions of dialog, discourse, and negotiations. Not far away from the core discussion of truth is the discussion of society organized along lines of democracy versus authoritarian rule. While we are talking about democracy versus authoritarian regimes we begin to think about empathy and understanding contrasted with bullying and abuse of power. From these connected subjects we venture into tribalism, inequality, and finally, how best to pursue life, liberty, and happiness in a complex world that is simultaneously characterized by both abundance and beauty from one perspective as well scarcity and ugliness viewed from another angle.

In the end I am left with the idea that truth is centrally important, especially as we try to negotiate a better future. Truth may be so important that without it we have nothing but chaos and conflict. Certainly the prospect of something so fragile as good healthcare for all of us that is provided within a set of sustainable societal resources can feel as if it is beyond our collective capability unless we can find effective ways to discuss the way forward. Perhaps we need alternative realities. This may be a very good time for Pollan to bring out his new book advocating a fresh look at the benefit of psychedelics!

I enjoy a good “bedtime book.” A good bedtime book is one that I have wanted to read for years, is incredibly dense with thought provoking ideas, and requires so much concentration that I can only read a few pages before I fall asleep with it on my chest or give up consciousness and roll away from the light coming from my wife’s side of the bed where she continues to read. With the right book I can be asleep within a few seconds of realizing that I have read the same paragraph three times and still do not know what it says.

Lately my “bedtime book” has been Thomas Merton’s 1948 autobiography of faith, The Seven Storey Mountain. If you do not know who Merton was and perhaps are not familiar with this book that has sold over 4 million copies since 1948, I would suggest following the link to get more information. I had not known much about Merton until Patty Gabow suggested that I read Paul Elie’s The Life You Save May Be Your Own: An American Pilgrimage. It is an interesting book that connects the stories of four Catholic writers: Merton, Dorothy Day, Flannery O’Connor and Walter Percy. Of the four only O’Connor was born into a Catholic family.

To my surprise as I was nodding off on Monday night Merton spoke to me across 70 years and suggested that many of the issues that plague us now are not new. He described a transatlantic voyage that he had taken to return to school in England after spending a summer with his grandparents in America. The passengers on this slow boat to England fell into two groups that could not understand each other. There was much debate that was focused on generational differences of opinion between older passengers and the younger set composed of Merton and some young women from Bryn Mawr. Reflecting on himself at this time Merton says:

For it had become evident to me that I was a great rebel. I fancied that I had suddenly risen above all the errors and stupidities and mistakes of modern society --there are enough of them to rise above, I admit-- and that I had taken my place in the ranks of those who held up their heads and squared their shoulders and marched into the future. In the modern world, people are always holding up their heads and marching into the future, although they haven't the slightest idea what they think the “future” is or could possibly mean. The only future we seem to walk into, in fact, is full of bigger and more terrible wars, wars well calculated to knock our upraised heads off those squared shoulders.

I read Merton’s self analysis as one that was applicable to me. He recognized that when we think we “rise above” others we are vulnerable. His words implied to me that as we go forward into an uncertain future we must be very careful to construct our conversations, our ideas about one another, less on regard for own correctness and more on a willingness to empathetically listen to others in a collective search for “truth.” It follows that we need to have a willingness to listen to other people’s opinions about how to apply “truth” to the “future” we can negotiate to avoid “more terrible” wars. Truth and honor are definitely connected, but to focus only on one’s own “truth” sets us up for conflict.

The subject of “truth” is complicated. The subject “facts” is a little more straightforward but still tricky, if your “facts” are really measurements subject to error or remain “theories.” All of this is to say that it is clear to me that my discussion of truth last week was a beginning for me and not an end. The way forward toward better care for everyone and progress toward the Triple Aim at some point in the future requires much more than everyone accepting the same facts, although facts are a starting point. As I was having these thoughts I discovered that Michael Bloomberg has been in the same groove. What follows is a summary of thoughts about honor and honesty that further enlarge the subject. I was so impressed by the speech that he gave to the 2018 graduates of Rice University that I decided to pass on some of the highlights to you. If you would like to read or listen to the whole speech, just click on the link. It is well worth your time.

After a few introductory jokes about life at Rice and the possibility of returning home to live with parents after graduation, Bloomberg reminded the grads that they began their undergraduate journey with an introduction to the Rice honor code and its centrality to academic life. Then he asked them a rhetorical question and gave them a definition:

... ever since you arrived here on campus, on nearly every test and paper you submitted, you signed a statement that began, ‘On my honor.’ But have you ever stopped to think about what that phrase really means?

...To be honorable, you must be honest. And that means speaking honestly, and acting honestly, even when it requires you to admit wrongdoing -- and suffer the consequences. The commitment to honesty is a responsibility that you accepted as an Owl. [The Rice mascot is an Owl] It is also, I believe, a patriotic responsibility.


He then reminds us of the legend of George Washington and the cherry tree and [Honest] Abe Lincoln. Then he suggests how far we have fallen from our national self image in an age of “post truth” and “alternative facts.”

We’ve always lionized our two greatest presidents -- Washington and Lincoln -- not only for their accomplishments, but also for their honesty. We see their integrity and morals as a reflection of our honor as a nation.

However, today when we look at the city that bears Washington's name, it's hard not to wonder: What the hell happened?

“In 2016, the Oxford English Dictionary's word of the year was ‘post-truth.’ And last year brought us the phrase, ‘alternative facts.’ In essence, they both mean: Up can be down. Black can be white. True can be false. Feelings can be facts.


Last week I repeated Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan’s comment about facts and opinions. Bloomberg has an advantage over me. He actually knew Moynihan.

“A New York Senator known for working across the aisle, my old friend Pat Moynihan, once said: ‘People are entitled to their own opinions, but not their own facts.’ That didn’t used to be a controversial statement.

“Today, those in politics routinely dismiss any inconvenient information, no matter how factual, as fake -- and they routinely say things that are demonstrably false. When authoritarian regimes around the world did this, we scoffed at them. We thought the American people would never stand for that!

...Today, though, many of those at the highest levels of power see the plain truth as a threat. They fear it. They deny it. And they attack it -- just as the communists once did. And so here we are, in the midst of an epidemic of dishonesty, and an endless barrage of lies...When elected officials speak as though they are above the truth, they will act as though they are above the law. And when we tolerate dishonesty, we get criminality...If left unchecked, these abuses can erode the institutions that preserve and protect our rights and freedoms -- and open the door to tyranny and fascism...The only thing more dangerous than dishonest politicians who have no respect for the law, is a chorus of enablers who defend their every lie.


He cast a big net that catches both those that are purveyors of distortions of the truth and those who tolerate and enable them. The reason is clear. Dishonesty endangers all of us. Using Rice’s honor code as a guide, he expands its concepts to community:

Remember: The Honor Code here at Rice just doesn’t require you to be honest. It requires you to say something if you saw others acting dishonestly. Now that might be the most difficult part of an honor code, but it may also be the most important, because violations affect the whole community.

And the same is true in our country. If we want elected officials to be honest, we have to hold them accountable when they are not -- or else suffer the consequences.


At this point he references the fact that the EPA and other departments of the federal government have banned the use of phrases like “climate change.” Then he draws a chilling conclusion:

Scientific discovery permeates practically every aspect of our lives -- except, too often, our political debates.

The dishonesty in Washington isn't just about science, of course. We weren’t tackling so many of the biggest problems that affect your future – from the lack of good jobs in many communities, to the prevalence of gun violence, to the threats to the economy and threats to the environment -- because too many political leaders are being dishonest about facts and data, and too many people are letting them get away with it.


He moves on to ask the critical question: How did we get here? The answer is what he calls “extreme partisanship.” My interpretation is that extreme partisanship is what you get if we all act with the attitude that Merton describes in his confession.

Extreme partisanship is like an infectious disease. But instead of crippling the body, it cripples the mind. It blocks us from understanding the other side. It blinds us from seeing the strengths in their ideas -- and the weaknesses of our own. And it leads us to defend or excuse lies and unethical actions when our own side commits them.

He goes back further than the current moment and reminds us that Democrats looked the other way in the ‘90s. He points to both sides of the aisle.

In the 1990s, leading Democrats spent the decade defending the occupant of the Oval Office against charges of lying and personal immorality, and attempting to silence and discredit the women who spoke out. At the same time, leading Republicans spent that decade attacking the lack of ethics and honesty in the White House.

Today, the roles are exactly reversed -- not because the parties have changed their beliefs -- but because the party occupying the Oval Office has changed.

When someone's judgment about an action depends on the party affiliation of the person who committed it, they're being dishonest with themselves and with the public. And yet, those kinds of judgments have become so second nature that many people -- in both parties -- don't even realize that they are making them.


There is a way to resolve the dilemma:

...honesty leads to trust and trust leads to freedom ...If we aren't honest with one another, we don't trust one another, then we place limits on what we ourselves can do, and what we can do together as a country... It doesn't have to be that way.

He describes his personal experience as the Mayor of New York that allows him to say:

...I never once asked someone his or her party affiliation during a job interview, or who they voted for. As a result, we had a dream team of Democrats, Republicans, and independents. That diversity made our debates sharper, our policies smarter, and our government better...Arguments were won and lost on facts and data -- not parties and polls...Studies show that people become more extreme in their views when they are grouped together with like-minded people. And that’s now happening in both parties. And as a result, I think it's fair to say the country is more divided by party than it has ever been since the Civil War…

He surprised me with references to pop music and finishes on a positive note. I guess that he knew his audience:

If that continues to happen here, America will become even more divided, and our national anthem may as well become the Taylor Swift song: ‘We are never, ever, ever, getting back together.’

...I'm hoping you ….will draw more inspiration from a song by a different artist: Zedd, Maren Morris, and Grey: ‘Why don't you just meet me in the middle? I'm losing my mind just a little.’

Bringing the country back together I know won't be easy. But I believe it can be done -- and if we are to continue as a true democracy, it must be done...Honesty matters. And everyone must be held accountable for being honest...Recognize that no one, nor either party, has a monopoly on good ideas. Judge events based on what happened, not who did it. Hold yourself and our leaders to the highest standards of ethics and morality. Respect the knowledge of scientists. Follow the data, wherever it leads. Listen to people you disagree with -- without trying to censor them or shout over them. And have the courage to say things that your own side does not want to hear…

We can all recite the inspiring words that begin the Declaration of Independence: We hold these truths to be self-evident --

But remember that the Founding Fathers were able to bring those truths to life only because of the Declaration's final words: ‘We mutually pledge to each other, our Lives, our Fortunes, and our sacred Honor.’

...in order to preserve those truths, and the rights they guarantee us, every generation must take that same pledge…


He is an experienced man whose words deserve serious consideration for reasons beyond the fact that he is worth 50 billion dollars and gives billions to healthcare, education, and efforts to improve the world in which we live. It is true that his wisdom and actions have made a difference, but more importantly his words ring true.


We Must Be Inept Because We Do Spend Enough To Do a Better Job

In those weeks when my own well of inspiration and self proclaimed insight seems to be temporarily running dry, I compensate by passing on what I am learning from others. There has been a lot to learn from others and to pass on this week. I was particularly intrigued by the graphics and the conjecture in an article in the New York Times this Monday by Austin Frakt, “Medical Mystery: Something Happened to U.S. Health Spending After 1980.”

The bottom line for me after reading the article is that “the harder we try and the more we spend the behinder we get.” A lack of willingness to spend money is not the reason that our outcomes as measured by life expectancy are reason for a collective red face of embarrassment. My old coach use to humiliate me with game films when he was trying to assess blame for a failure on the field. He would say, “Gene, pictures do not lie!” That was in the sixties. Perhaps now we can photoshop lies and creatively present statistics to manufacture a point, but I am willing to accept the veracity of the graphics that appeared in Frakt’s article. We have seen this data before. What is new is the assessment that explains the graphics. There is much to be considered.

The first graphic below suggests that since 1980 the more we have spent the further we have fallen behind in relative life expectancy as compared with other advanced economies. The picture is depressing and should be motivation enough to cause us to sit down together and attempt to solve the problem with a bipartisan effort. How can we not ask the question, “What is going on here?” How can we not hold our elective officials accountable for the resolution of this disturbing reality? We should all be engaged in an attempt to answer the question, “Why do we spend so much and yet have such lackluster numbers.”Possible answers to that question range from ineptitude and disinterest and include the possibility of gross negligence, or a generalized focus on personal benefit without much regard for expense or the experience of others.
If dollars per person versus years of life don’t do it for you, then we should take dollars out of the analysis and just consider the progression in time of the gap between us and others. Either presentation begs for an answer. Frakt has queried some pretty smart people and they have returned some thoughts that deserve consideration.

The first thing to notice is that we were in a comfortable mid pack position prior to about 1980. What started as Jimmy Carter passed the baton of leadership to Ronald Reagan? Carter was a micromanager with empathy and Reagan was one of our best loved presidents who had no empathy for “welfare queens.”

The first observation in the article as an attempt to answer the question is a reminder of the strange fact that life expectancy is not necessarily a function of medical care:

“Medical care is one of the less important determinants of life expectancy,” said Joseph Newhouse, a health economist at Harvard. “Socioeconomic status and other social factors exert larger influences on longevity.”

Paul Starr, the eminent healthcare sociologist from Princeton, is quoted to remind us that other countries “put limits on healthcare prices and spending.” We have been reluctant to take any steps to control prices in any part of our economy since Nixon’s brief experiment with “price freezes” in the early 70s. Frakt quotes Gerard Anderson of Johns Hopkins who points out that there has been a growing differential between what the U.S. and other industrialized nations pay for healthcare, and that Americans consume more care than their counterparts in other countries to which we are compared. Spending more might be good if there were improved outcomes to match our higher prices and greater utilization.

Is the answer a pack of competition? We have seen multiple waves of consolidation “for efficiency and projected “savings” that may have undermined the market benefits of competition. David Cutler, a Harvard Medical economist is referenced because he suggests that we pay very high administrative costs in association with multiple insurers. Each additional insurer adds inefficiency will variations in contract structure and billing processes. In sum:

“According to a recent study, the United States has higher health care administrative costs than other wealthy countries.”

As the article continues there is a suggestion that everything is just too big and too ineffective:

“We have big pharma vs. big insurance vs. big hospital networks, and the patient and employers and also the government end up paying the bills,” said Janet Currie, a Princeton health economist. Though we have some large public health care programs, they are not able to keep a lid on prices. Medicare, for example, is forbidden to negotiate as a whole for drug prices...

All of the explanations seem plausible but why did the separation occur after 1980? Did the economy become dysfunctional after inflation and the oil embargoes of the late ‘70s? A possible explanation is that we are victims of rampant advances of innovations and a “medical arms race” among competing hospitals and practices. Innovations in other industries often lead to savings to consumers. So far the lower costs experienced in other industries as a benefit of innovation have not been the experience in healthcare. Business for medical innovators has been pretty good, but the data suggests that innovations have not led to improved life expectancies.

Statistics do not support the idea that the answer is in our racial diversity or in differentially higher rates of smoking and obesity. A lack of access to care for as many as 25% of the population of states that did not expand Medicaid with the ACA may be a partial explanation. Many of those same states restricted access to Medicaid before the ACA.

Our programs of maternal and child care since the ‘80s have improved the experience of our poor women and children. In 1980 we spent 11% of GDP on social programs while EU members spent 15%. In 2011 we spent 16% to their 22%. The difference in social spending does not seem big, but Gerard Anderson from Hopkins thinks that it might make a difference.

“Social underfunding probably has more long-term implications than underinvestment in medical care,” he said. For example, “if the underspending is on early childhood education — one of the key socioeconomic determinants of health — then there are long-term implications.”

David Cutler, the Harvard Economist, expands the idea that the real explanation may lie in social issues like growing economic inequity.

Slow income growth could also play a role because poorer health is associated with lower incomes. “It’s notable that, apart from the richest of Americans, income growth stagnated starting in the late 1970s,” ...

The facts and data are not fake. The implications of the cost of care and the poor outcomes as measured by life expectancy are real and affect us all. The discussion has been and will continue to be one that will test us. So far the facts alone seem not to bother many people both in and out of healthcare. If we have difficulty with “climate change questions,” there is every reason to believe developing solutions that really lower the cost of care and improve life expectancy will also challenge us. The numbers and the trends should worry us all, but are we really concerned?

Collectively, we should demand that our government look for explanations to test and solutions to consider. Looking back over our history we have most effectively come together in response to external military threats. It is my opinion that the health and social welfare of all of our citizens deserve at least as much bipartisan cooperation as our military defense.


Daffodils and Dandelions

Everywhere I go these days I see the fresh bright green of new leaves. Various shades of pink and purple adorn flowering bushes and trees. Around the lake there are many colors, including the reddish buds of maple trees that are slowing bringing out their leaves. There are white blossoms in the woods along the shoreline of my lake. Blossoms cover the trees and shrubs of my neighbors yards. I am delighted to see life and color on the recently planted trees in my own yard that made it through their first winter. Some well landscaped local businesses sport the bright yellows of forsythia bushes. Some of the forsythia bushes on the grounds of a local bank look as big as boxcars. I eagerly anticipate the azaleas and rhododendrons that will show up over the next month or so.

Our little town has only one garden store, but it is a beauty. Springledge Farm sits on Main Street at what was once the edge of town. Over the last month it has slowly awakened from its winter slowdown. It will be busy now through spring, summer, and fall. In December it is the go to place for Christmas trees and wreaths. This time of year it is where my my wife goes for the plants that will fill the flower boxes on our deck and add color to our flower beds. She spends as much time in the gardens as I do walking and fishing. Our yard is a continuous work in progress.

It was very satisfying for her to see that the daffodil bulbs that she had carefully planted in a medallion on the front lawn have finally come up. Their light yellows are a joy. What she did not plant and what seems to me to be equally beautiful are the dandelions that cover our scraggly lawn. We are on the lake and do not use chemicals or fertilizers for fear of polluting the lake, so we have a bumper crop of dandelions. I like them. They are just as yellow and just as pretty in their haphazard spread. As I think about daffodills I wonder, what is the difference between a weed and a flower?

While thinking deep thoughts my mind turns to the Red Sox. After getting off to a great start they have become erratic. Let’s face it, they should never lose to Oakland, but they have, a lot. My good friend, neighbor in New Hampshire and former colleague at Atrius Health, Tom Congoran, drove down to Boston with me on Tuesday to see the Sox play the A’s. That was our intention, but we turned around and came home when heavy rain caused an almost two hour delay in the start of the game. I guess I am a fair weather fan. There is nothing more disappointing than to sit in the cold and the wet watching your team lose to a team they should beat while having the expectation of a two hour drive home after a loss. Sure enough, the Sox lost 5-3 in a game that ended a few minutes after midnight. By accepting the sunk cost of the tickets as a loss we got home in time to see the second half of the Celtic win over the Cavaliers. It was a wise move.

I hope that your weekend will be full of good company, wise moves, clear skies and bright color wherever you are. Be sure to be out and about. The great thing about this time of the year is that as long as you are outdoors there are no poor choices. Savor every spring day! Being in nature promotes honesty, empathy, good thoughts, and occasional flashes of insight. Activity with friends is a great antidote for burnout.

Be well, take good care of yourself, let me hear from you often, and don’t let anything keep you from doing the good that you can do every day,

Gene

Dr. Gene Lindsey
The Healthcare Musings Archive

Previous editions of the "Healthcare Musings" newsletter, by Dr. Gene Lindsey are now archived and available to you at:

www.getresponse.com/archive/strategy_healthcare

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