Subject: Paradise Valley Weekly - 9 New Listings, Explaining the Housing Imbalance

Paradise Valley Weekly
314th Edition - May 28, 2016
In 2015, there were 600,000 more households formed in the than there were housing units built in the US. That's a tremendous gap, which explains why rents are coming up at the furious pace we've seen lately.
  
What's especially noteworthy about this massive gap is that both household formation and homebuilding are below long term trends. As the millenial generation gets older, earns more and moves out of their parents homes, the competition for housing will get even more intense.

There's a terrific article in Business Insider with compelling statistics. It helps explain why we are seeing this disparity.

Now is an opportune time to invest in residential real estate. I'm not necessarily speaking about Paradise Valley - though investing here can be fruitful, the wind is really at your back if you own real estate that is affordable for the average person. Whether single family homes or multi-residential, this imbalance is going to work in landlord's favor for quite some time.

And if you look carefully at the chart above you'll see that rents have done well even in recessions. There aren't too many businesses that were as resilient in the last major economic downturn.

To assess what type of investment properties may work for your situation, please click here. I can point you to opportunities in other states, as well as Arizona. When investing in real estate, it's even more critical to get access to unlisted properties.

***

If you're invested in the stock market, pay careful attention to look at the chart below from the St. Louis Federal Reserve. It's the long-term chart of Wilshire 5000 capitalization to US GDP. In other words, its what the stock market is valuing corporate America relative to the country's output.

Stocks are in unprecedented territory. If you believe in reversion to the mean, it's time to get out of the stock market - or do some serious hedging. We are now at a valuation even higher than before the crash of 2008-09 -- and before the crash of 2000.

The stock market may of course continue to rise, but the downside looks dramatically larger than the upside.
***

Have you hiked Camelback Mountain lately?

The parking situation is out of control. As temperatures creep up and more people want to hike early, it's getting really challenging.

Avoid the frustration, and walk right onto Camelback Mountain from this incredible home.

Check out the awesome drone video that shows just how easy it is. It's like your own private Echo Canyon trail.
***

Closings
Overall volume of single family home sales in Paradise Valley was down to $13.9 million last week -- but there were VERY strong numbers within those sales. 

The average home sold for $2.3 million and $459 per square foot. What makes this even more incredible was the average age: 32 years.

Very impressive numbers, though of course one week isn't statistically significant. Will be interesting to see what happens in the coming weeks.

Listings
This week brings 9 new listings, from $560k to $8.75 million. One home is already under contract.

It's unfortunate, but there's actually no new listing this week I'd advise rushing out to see. Hopefully next week will bring a more compelling mix.

However... the off market properties are a different situation. To see the latest unlisted "private sale" properties, please click here.

To see all of this week's new MLS listings please click here.

To see everything on the MLS in Paradise Valley please click here.

That's all for this week, I'll be back next week with all the latest in Paradise Valley real estate.

Have a wonderful Memorial Day holiday!

Sincerely,
Alex Goldstein
(480) 442-7325














Disclaimer: All information is believed to be accurate, but should be verified by the reader and is provided without warranty. Please consult appropriate financial, tax, legal, and real estate advisors before making decisions. This email is not intended to solicit people who are represented by another agent.


 


































(c) 2016 Alex Goldstein PLLC


















Realty One Group, 7975 N Hayden Road #101, Scottsdale, AZ 85258, United States
You may unsubscribe or change your contact details at any time.