Subject: Bit Talk Edition 25

Bit-Talk Newsletter Edition 25
We're All About Bitcoin

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Another Chance On Ethereum Mining Pool Today (1st June)
FROM BCN NEWS:

"BitClub Network has secured a large batch of Ethereum mining equipment that is being assembled right now and will be ready to begin mining on June 1st!

We are going to be offering 2,000 shares for sale on June 1st. These shares will work just like the last batches and the shares will be included in the same pool we offered to Founders. These shares are now open to everyone in the company!
"


From me: 

As I write this there are 3 hours left until the launch of another 
2,000 shares available at $1,000 USD per share and now they are available to all members, not just Founders. By the time this gets to you, the shares may be available within the hour.

The big question then is this - "is the purchase of a share, a good deal or not?" Given that we cannot look into the future of course, all will ultimately depend on HOW LONG we mine for (will it be 1 year, will it be more, will it be less) and HOW MANY ETH are produced. Finally, HOW MUCH will the ETH we have obtained be worth. 

When BCN started mining ETH on 1st April the expectation was that we would earn around 9 ETH per month from our shares. We aren't doing so. I have 12.56 ETH as of yesterday. That is just over 6.25 per month. On the basis of 9 per month and on the additional assumption that ETH would grow in value, a mining share seemed like a good idea compared to simply buying ETH yourself. But at 6.25 per month it doesn't seem so attractive.

Now it could be that we see an increase in the amount mined of course although, right now, the daily amount we earn does appear to be lower than it has been. But it could be that more will be mined and that figure improves. It is, as they say, still early days. 

The equation needs to be:  is it better to simply buy ETH or is it better to invest $1,000 dollars in an ETHEREUM mining pool share? Of course the equation could never be that simple in reality. If you are here in the UK, unless you have $1,000 in Bitcoin to hand, you need to take account of currency exchange between GBP and USD. 

If you have acquired Bitcoin over the last year or several months then the value of that Bitcoin has grown (it currently stands at over $530) and a purchase of ETH (or mining share) using Bitcoin is clean and requires no value loss. 

If you have to acquire $1,000 out of the bank (by converting from GBP  to USD to buy a share) or, alternatively, simply buy ETH direct from the market, then you have the loss of value in the pound over the dollar to contend with. Whilst it is a little more stable now the value of GBP versus the USD has fallen off the cliff over the last year.

On the face of it, right now, simpy buying the ETH would be better than a share purchase whichever way you look at it. One ETH currently stands at around $13 in the market so you could acquire 77 of them with $1,000. My current ETHEREUM mining pool share is on target to mine only 75 ETH over 12 months. 

Now, of course, if the mining operation goes on past 12 months it could be beneficial and if the return from the mining pool share increase then likewise, but as the future of ETH is likely to change from proof of work mining to proof of stake mining we are mostly under the impression that 12 months is probably the best we can hope for with the current mining pool share and that could mean we only get until the turn of the year or just after.

Let me be clear in this argument. I have absolutely no doubt that BCN are doing this to add value for their members and, clearly, they believe that overall they may be able to mine more than they are currently doing. But you must decide for yourself. 

I think that I personally, now, having seen two months of ETH mining, would not have purchased a share but would have, instead, bought the ETH directly from the market. That said, maybe ETH will not be the big competitor to Bitcoin that they currently believe it will be?

If you want to be ready to get an Ethereum mining pool share, make sure you have the equivalent of $1,000 in Bitcoin sitting in your BCN wallet. When the order window opens, past experience has shown that the shares go quickly. 



All previous newsletters can be seen at Bit-Talk.
Been a bit quiet, sorry...
You may have wondered where I've been over the last six weeks or so and I figure an explanation is in order. I've simply been chilling, or taking it easy if you prefer and there hasn't exactly been a lot to talk about on the Bitcoin front anyway. But now I am back and rolling up my sleeves again ready for a little more work. Apologies for the lack of material but now I am back.

That said, clearly, you'll only want me to talk to you about relevant and interesting things relating to the Bitcoin universe and whilst I could list article after article on the subject matter, I like to keep Bit-Talk super-focused on the stuff that genuinely impacts upon us.

I am also considering getting back into the creation of some new webinar material to help to explain what Bitclub Network is really all about. I want to offer some good reasons as to why you might want to think about sharing this opportunity and webinars are the way forward with that.

In July or thereabouts it will be Bitcoin Block reward halving time again. I believe that once that process has happened and the reaction to it has settled, the golden age of Bitcoin will begin. And I believe I and other Bitclub members are very well placed to benefit from that.
Has it begun?

We've seen the Bitcoin price increase before of course but the last week or so has seen Bitcoin smash through the $500 mark for the first time since November 2013. 

But this increase is totally different to 2013. It is generally accepted that a very unique set of circumstances caused the price explosion of November 2013 (I have covered this before in previous Bit-Talk articles) and as fast as that went up back then it came crashing back down just as quickly.

This time we have seen a sustained and steady increase in value since the summer of 2015 when Bitcoin was at the $230 level. It has more than doubled in value since then but this time, the increase has been slow and steady and consistent.

I have said it before and it bears repeating, Bitcoin needs a degree of price volatility to keep it interesting and relevant but it was always assumed that as the next block reward halving day approached, the value would increase. As the Bitcoin market and environment is much more mature now, Bitcoin is acting more like an established currency or commodity would. 

I think we are seeing an anticipation of block halving building in the price and post halving we may see more increase in value as the market starts to accept that mining will not stop in its tracks. There wasn't enough intesrest in Bitcoin at the time of the first halving in 2012 (block 210,00) but now usage has exploded.

What was absolutely ingenious about Satoshi's invention was that it built in a control mechanism called difficulty. In short, the more mining that goes on, the harder the blocks become to mine. If mining activity reduces, difficulty reduces with it. This ensures the continuance of mining and once the market at large has adjusted to halving and sees that all is well, I believe Bitcoin value will not only hold up but increase further. 

If you mine 25 itcoin when the price is $250 and you mine 12.5 Bitcoin when it is $500 then you have achieved the same. That is where we are right now.

I have been lucky enough to see more than a doubling of Bitcoin price since I joined Bitclub Network and I am looking forward to getting even better growth in the future.

There is still a great opportunity here for those brave enough and imaginative enough to grab it. Bitclub Network is very well placed to grow in mining strength as other mining operations weaken. KNC Miner may be just the first significant mine to bail out of the contest as it perceives the contest is getting harder.
Update on Restructure From Bitclub Network 
"As we grow bigger we face more challenges and right now we are in the middle of a very large restructuring process of our database and pretty much our entire website. We are making it more secure and more stable so there will never be a single point of failure.

This process has been ongoing for a few months but as mentioned in previous updates this is our top priority right now. Keeping a website like ours running smoothly is not an easy task and it's really a thankless job.

Most people just expect websites to work and don't know how much time and effort really goes into the backend, supporting it, making sure all the pieces work together, and most importantly the data is kept safe and secure.

We have staff members working around the clock and we continue to hire more programmers and top notch security experts to audit our website and keep us ahead of the curve.

At this point we have state of the art detection systems running that continue to get stronger and stronger as we grow. So we just wanted to take a quick minute to thank all the programmers and people behind the scenes who work so hard! You will never know these people but they are responsible for keeping BitClub Network online. Thank You!
"
The State of Bitcoin Mining
"Sweden-based bitcoin mining firm KnCMiner, a startup that has raised $32m in venture funding from investors including Accel and Creandum, has declared bankruptcy." 

You can read the rest of this article at Coindesk by clicking the link HERE.

I want to share my views on what this means for us and why I am not in the least bit phased by this news and actually encouraged by it.

When a pretty large mining operation removes itself from the mining arena, that leaves the remaining bigger mining operations with more of the pie. We at BCN are becoming a big mining operation. But our structure dictates that whatever is earned is shared. If we earn more Bitcoin we get more Bitcoin shared if we earn less, we get less shared. 

Like the majority of mining operations, KNC were funded initially by independent investors, venture capitalists etc. 

Like all such investors, this of course means that a return has to be made to repay those investors, give them a profit and additionally cover all of the costs of activity.

Once you go down the "venture capital investor" route you are locked into a system that makes it difficult to get funded in any other way and you either make sufficient profit to cover everybody's costs and needs or you get into trouble. KNC got into trouble. When they needed new mining equipment they had to either sacrifice profits to buy it or borrow more money.

Bitclub Network created a system that allowed for costs and ongoing re-investment as it grew. Every new member coming in and every member that ever came in, purchased a mining pool share (or shares) and as part of that deal had to re-invest part of their earnings into the mining operation maintanence and renewal.

So BCN grew as fast (and only as fast) as new share purchases and automatic re-purchases allowed and has been able to continually acquire new (and ever more efficient) mining equipment as a result. In addition, each new member joining BCN has generated new money to purchase new equipment as they acquire their share.

Bottom line though is that BCN would continue to grow and maintain its mining operation even if there were no new members ever because every existing member automatically re-invests daily.

So, when we get to Bitcoin block reward halving, come block 420,000 (likely to be July this year), we will not have to satisfy the continuing, demanding requirements of external venture capitalists who will want the same returns they always had and BCN have never borrowed and thus have no interest payments to deal with.

Whichever way you look at it, a reduction in competition helps us and because of our unique funding mechanism, we should continue to thrive. 


                                                                          Bitclub
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