FROM BCN NEWS:
"BitClub Network has secured a large batch of Ethereum mining equipment that is being assembled right now and will be ready to begin mining on June 1st!
We are going to be offering 2,000 shares for sale on June 1st. These shares will work just like the last batches and the shares will be included in the same pool we offered to Founders. These shares are now open to everyone in the company!"
From me:
As I write this there are 3 hours left until the launch of another 2,000 shares available at $1,000 USD per share and now they are available to all members, not just Founders. By the time this gets to you, the shares may be available within the hour.
The big question then is this - "is the purchase of a share, a good deal or not?" Given that we cannot look into the future of course, all will ultimately depend on HOW LONG we mine for (will it be 1 year, will it be more, will it be less) and HOW MANY ETH are produced. Finally, HOW MUCH will the ETH we have obtained be worth.
When BCN started mining ETH on 1st April the expectation was that we would earn around 9 ETH per month from our shares. We aren't doing so. I have 12.56 ETH as of yesterday. That is just over 6.25 per month. On the basis of 9 per month and on the additional assumption that ETH would grow in value, a mining share seemed like a good idea compared to simply buying ETH yourself. But at 6.25 per month it doesn't seem so attractive.
Now it could be that we see an increase in the amount mined of course although, right now, the daily amount we earn does appear to be lower than it has been. But it could be that more will be mined and that figure improves. It is, as they say, still early days.
The equation needs to be: is it better to simply buy ETH or is it better to invest $1,000 dollars in an ETHEREUM mining pool share? Of course the equation could never be that simple in reality. If you are here in the UK, unless you have $1,000 in Bitcoin to hand, you need to take account of currency exchange between GBP and USD.
If you have acquired Bitcoin over the last year or several months then the value of that Bitcoin has grown (it currently stands at over $530) and a purchase of ETH (or mining share) using Bitcoin is clean and requires no value loss.
If you have to acquire $1,000 out of the bank (by converting from GBP to USD to buy a share) or, alternatively, simply buy ETH direct from the market, then you have the loss of value in the pound over the dollar to contend with. Whilst it is a little more stable now the value of GBP versus the USD has fallen off the cliff over the last year.
On the face of it, right now, simpy buying the ETH would be better than a share purchase whichever way you look at it. One ETH currently stands at around $13 in the market so you could acquire 77 of them with $1,000. My current ETHEREUM mining pool share is on target to mine only 75 ETH over 12 months.
Now, of course, if the mining operation goes on past 12 months it could be beneficial and if the return from the mining pool share increase then likewise, but as the future of ETH is likely to change from proof of work mining to proof of stake mining we are mostly under the impression that 12 months is probably the best we can hope for with the current mining pool share and that could mean we only get until the turn of the year or just after.
Let me be clear in this argument. I have absolutely no doubt that BCN are doing this to add value for their members and, clearly, they believe that overall they may be able to mine more than they are currently doing. But you must decide for yourself.
I think that I personally, now, having seen two months of ETH mining, would not have purchased a share but would have, instead, bought the ETH directly from the market. That said, maybe ETH will not be the big competitor to Bitcoin that they currently believe it will be?
If you want to be ready to get an Ethereum mining pool share, make sure you have the equivalent of $1,000 in Bitcoin sitting in your BCN wallet. When the order window opens, past experience has shown that the shares go quickly.
All previous newsletters can be seen at Bit-Talk. |