Subject: December Newsletter

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Reporting Back
October-December 2018

Dear friend,

Within my newsletter you will find my report back from my delegation’s trip to North Korea, updates on salient EU affairs, and an outline of the potential future for Britain post-Brexit. With regards to the immediate Brexit discussions, there is nothing in my capacity as an MEP I can add of note at this time. Clearly the main discussion on this matter is currently within the British House of Commons and UK government. Like you, I await to see what transpires in the Commons debate and subsequent vote.

As ever,
Nirj
Feedback from delegation visit to North Korea
 
As some of you might be aware, for the past three and a half years, the European Parliament Delegation for Relations with the Korean Peninsula, which I have the honour to Chair, has undertaken a series of confidential meetings with North Korean officials, in order to discuss ending the Korean War and secure lasting peace and stability to the Korean Peninsula. We have determinedly advocated confidence-building measures, with the intention of indirectly fostering the practical steps necessary for reducing risks in the region and, ultimately, building upon this foundation to transition the Peninsula from a state of armistice to a state of peace.
 
Little did we know when we began, how quickly the march towards peace and reconciliation would happen. Following the historic Kim-Trump Summit, in Singapore, earlier this year, an act that required enormous political courage from all sides, my colleagues and I felt duty bound to explore how the EU could help facilitate de-escalating tensions and support an evolving peace process.
 
To this end, following a hiatus of almost six years, the delegation sent a mission to the DPRK last month, restarting the Inter-Parliamentary meetings between our two sides and marking the first direct engagement between any European Parliament body and the DPRK in this mandate.
 
Just one year ago, such a mission would have proved impossible, as the world tensely waited to see if war would break out in East Asia between the DPRK and the US, following numerous ballistic missile and nuclear tests conducted by Pyongyang. However, the last year has witnessed a seismic shift in the nature of international engagement with the DPRK.
 
The mission focussed on four key areas: meetings with the DPRK authorities, visiting Pyongyang facilities, visiting EU humanitarian projects in the countryside (about 4.5 hours driving from Pyongyang) and meeting the EUMS (EU heads of mission) in the DPRK.
 
Our findings were clear. In our meetings with the primary interlocutors, in this case the Speaker of the Supreme People’s Assembly (SPA -their parliament), the Director of the Key International Department for Internal Affairs of the Central Committee of the Workers’ People’s Party, the Vice-Minister for Foreign Affairs, the Vice-Minister for Economic Affairs, and the formal Inter-Parliamentary Meeting (IPM) with the SPA Friendship Group, our opposite numbers interestingly never adopted a complaining tone and at no point blamed the UNSC, the USA or any other actor, of unfair treatment.
Our counterparts unilaterally insisted upon the fact that the DPRK has now achieved its security strategy - by the development of its nuclear programme - and is now focused on national prosperity. They pointed out that although sanctions have had an impact on the implementation of their economic plans, the DPRK has developed a strong self-reliance system. Pride in this self-reliance and national patriotism were inherently suggested as the value system that underpins the regime’s continued existence above all other considerations.
 
If asked on which sanctions first they would like to see removed, the common answer was that this is not the point, but that rather we need to first develop “confidence building” measures, increasing bilateral contacts, rather than removing specific sanctions. Having few political allies and surrounded by historical enemies, the regime is ostensibly reaching out to form fresh relationships with new global players, like the EU.
 
While the UN-voted sanctions, which have been fully implemented by all EU member states, have undoubtedly led to the confidence necessary for the advent of this new beginning, opinions differ on their efficacy. Some EUMS diplomats considered that there is no evidence that they produce any significant impact on the political decisions of the Central Committee, and even reinforce a strong sense of pride, hurting only the most vulnerable whilst the elites have insulated themselves from their effects.
Indeed, Pyongyang, the location of a privileged two million inhabitants, mostly integral to the regime, was, to our surprise, a modern capital, as advanced as any in Southeast Asia, with checkpoints when leaving or entering the city. They told us the checks are in place for security purposes, to prevent the infiltration of external inimical forces. Be that as it may, they also prevented North Korean peasant farmers from leaving their farms and finding jobs in the city.
 
Our visit also demonstrated that there is a need to bring clarity and transparency to the peace and denuclearisation process. We are concerned that the discussions behind closed doors, on a bilateral basis between the US and North Korea, precludes the involvement of other concerned actors like China, Japan and Russia, leading to suspicions, misunderstandings and unwitting mistakes.
 
Further, that while in the long-term our common goal, the American demand for immediate, complete verifiable and irreversible denuclearisation, will not happen until the DPRK is satisfied that they can get something for something, in gradual stages.
 
Going forward, we discussed initiating an international conference, chaired by the EU and involving the six direct protagonists, as well as international development banks like the World Bank, AIB, Japanese development organisations, and UN agencies, including UNIDO, USDP and other relevant stakeholders in preventing war and securing stability and sustainable peace to a denuclearised, neutral Korean peninsula.
 
Furthermore, the Supreme People Assembly expressed their wish to visit Brussels and, if exceptionally authorised, an incoming Inter-Parliamentary Meeting could be held during the first part of 2019. The SPA also interestingly expressed, given the years of a de facto frozen bilateral relationship, their wish to invite the EP President and AFET Chair to visit Pyongyang.
The future of a post-Brexit Britain - Address given at the Conservative Party Conference 2018


The British are an exceptional people. Our exceptionalism comes from a recognition that goes back to the Magna Carta: that no-one is above the law. The British are best when we are independent. Starting with the England of Henry VIII who made England independent of the then EU: the vast domination of the Papacy over global affairs, which enabled successive Popes to divide the globe for conquests between Spain and Portugal in the Americas, and continental Europe for the Holy Roman Empire. All this came to an end when Henry VIII proclaimed that he was the head of the Church in England, and not the Pope, thus creating an independent English nation.
 
This act of defiance against the then European order isolated England and left his later successor, Elizabeth I, to battle tremendous odds to maintain national sovereignty. The referendum of 2016 has transported us - in the reign of Elizabeth II to the reign of Elizabeth I - in the blink of an eye. Elizabeth I had to battle the Spanish Empire in the West, the dominant Holy Roman Empire on the continent, and of course France, to maintain our independence. How did this small fog-bound, near bankrupt, Kingdom of England and Scotland end up by the end of the 19th century being the largest global Empire that the world has ever seen?
 
How did they do it? A nation of no more than twenty million at the time, ruling hundreds of millions. The second strand to our exceptionalism is the dichotomous nature of our spirit. Contradictorily, while establishing imperial order through its military, British teachers were imbuing Indian and colonial children (including my ancestors) with the values of freedom, democracy, rule of law and justice. I have no doubt that in a post-brexit world, British exceptionalism will get stronger and stronger. Let us also be in no doubt that with us gone, the European project of creating a French and German dominated super-state will accelerate, because we were the biggest impediment to the creation of the United States of Europe – the ultimate end objective of ‘ever closer union.’
A post-brexit world could well consist of an ever self-absorbed United States of America, withdrawing into herself and undermining, unwittingly or otherwise, the multinational rules-based order, established by her predecessors who enabled American dominion over the structure of the post-war world; producing seventy years of peace and stability for her citizens and the global democracies.
 
That the current administration of the US is setting out to dismantle these multilateral arrangements is astonishing, but strangely enough gives British exceptionalism its chance to be regnant. The multinational order is based on the rule of law - a rule of law, descending from Magna Carta, which encouraged everyone from dictator to peasant to live under that law, recognising human rights. That spirit of international law emanated from Britain, in the same dichotomous, almost schizophrenic notion, that the Imperial subjects must be taught the values of democracy and liberty.
 
So human rights, fairness in trading, global concern for the environment, a spirit of cooperation under a rules-based system – all underpin that exceptionalism that our country has stood up for, time and time again. If Trumpism prevails and the international order becomes increasingly unstable, the EU or the United States of Europe, will attempt to compete for the space left behind by the withdrawal of the US influence over the multinational system.
 
The vacuum left behind will be filled and it can only be filled globally by these alternatives: China acting alone and promoting its belt and road initiative; or alternatively like-minded liberal democracies; Britain, Japan, India, Australia, Canada and others determined to protect the international rules based system. Because only by acting together can these nations protect the economic wellbeing of its peoples in the coming period of disruptive economic history. By 2030 or even sooner, a combination of artificial intelligence and bio technology will see the destruction of our conventional industrial base, to be replaced by the digital age.
Artificial intelligence, health and educational software, autonomous and electric cars, 3D printing, agriculture-related software, will disrupt 90% of the traditional industries which we now know. It is amazing to think that Uber is just a software tool and that they don’t actually own any cars and our now the largest taxi firm in the world, while Airbnb is the biggest hotel company in the world even though they don’t own a single hotel. All that with IBM Watson giving legal advice with 90% accuracy, which is affordable, is putting hundreds of thousands of young lawyers out of jobs. IBM Watson helps to diagnose cancer four times more accurately than human nurses. And from 2028 onwards car ownership will begin to collapse, with driverless cars delivering us to our destination and thus leading to car-parking spaces in cities becoming empty. Last year more solar energy was installed worldwide than new fossil installations and the price of solar will drop so much that we will have cheap electricity leading to increased desalinisation, creating an abundance of clean water.
 
We are now at the confluence of two immense revolutions. On the one hand biologists are deciphering the mysteries of the human body and in particular of the brain – and at the same time computer scientists are giving us unprecedented data processing power. When the biotech revolution merges with the infotech revolution, it will produce big data algorithms which will challenge individual freedom.
 
There will be huge discrepancies between the hyper rich and the poor. With power in the hands of digital giants forming digital monopolies, unless regulated, big data algorithms will undermine the very idea of individual freedom.  This gap between huge corporations owned by the few, controlling vast wealth – and most of humanity controlling nothing, will lead to a paradigm change in our political culture. The triumph of liberal democracies over communism only happened because the democracies diffused the power to process information and make decisions among many people and institutions. Dictatorships concentrate power and information in one place and in the same way soon artificial intelligence might swing the pendulum in that direction, making it possible to process enormous amounts of information centrally, making centralised systems more efficient than diffused systems. Because concentrating information relating to a billion people in one database gives you far better algorithms and accruing enormous central power, giving dictatorships in the 21st century extraordinary control over their subjects.
 
Britain’s exceptionalism is duty-bound to break this monopolistic power of data over our individual lives. A new form of liberal politics will need to emerge where the protection of individual freedom under a rules-based system becomes paramount for the survival of our civilisation as we know it. And in this fight, a post-brexit Britain could have a pre-eminent role to play.
 
One of the most astonishing things that is happening every four years, the Olympics, where patriotism manifest itself in all its glory, is that extremely powerful countries agree to compete under the same rules as tiny, insignificant nations, under a common code of rules, recognising that each individual athlete is equal. The world in the 21st century should be governed thus, as we govern the Olympics. Britain is the best equipped nation to lead the creation of this new world order.
Reporting back from Europe

The EU freezes the UK out of the Galileo satellite project
 
Despite contributing significantly to the funding and technological creation of the Galileo system, it has been confirmed that the UK will not use it for defence or national infrastructure purposes. This is as a direct result of the EU choosing to bar the UK from being fully involved in all aspects of Galileo. The decision of the EU to freeze the UK out of vital aspects, thus precipitating Britain’s withdrawal, was widely criticised by politicians and the aerospace sector alike. Carl Bildt, the Co-Chair of the European Council on Foreign Relations, lamented that “excluding the UK from the security part of the Galileo satellite system, and thus forcing them out, is strategic folly of the first order.”
 
Similarly, Tom Enders, the chief executive of Airbus stated that the UK's departure from the £8.9bn European Galileo satellite project is a “serious blow to the EU’s common security and defence ambition.”
 
The Galileo project began back in 1999, with the aim to create a network of thirty satellites to orbit Earth, giving the EU autonomy from US and other international systems. It is intended to support military forces and businesses as well as mobile phones and satnavs. One of the most important elements of the Galileo system is the Public Regulated Service, an encrypted navigation service. This was largely designed by UK scientists and engineers; though the EU has determined that British contractors will be locked out of any future development.
 
Given these developments, Theresa May has rightly concluded that that UK will develop its own system to fulfil our requirements. The Prime Minister stated:
 
"Given the Commission's decision to bar the UK from being fully involved in developing all aspects of Galileo, it is only right that we find alternatives, I cannot let our armed services depend on a system we cannot be sure of. That would not be in our national interest. And as a global player with world-class engineers and steadfast allies around the world, we are not short of options.”
The Future Direction of the European Union
 
With the second largest net contributor to the EU budget due to leave, and populist, eurosceptic movements gaining electoral ground across the European continent, one might have been forgiven for expecting the European Parliament’s ‘Future of Europe’ debate to be a reflective, hard look at what has gone wrong in recent years. And where it can regroup and concentrate its future efforts. Instead, the debate descended into the familiar federalist hubris and expensive wish lists. From the formation of huge armies to the further erosion of national sovereignty. Within the adopted report was a series of measures designed to reduce the sovereign power of member-states and centralise power within the EU bureaucracy. This included proposals to remove member-states’ veto on the EU’s tax-raising powers as well as the size and scope of the EU budget. In addition, the proposals sought to give the EU more autonomy to exercise its own foreign policy.
 
Conversely, the ECR group led calls for an EU that does less but does it better. That moves away from the failing federalisation project and instead focuses on where the EU’s combined efforts could be effective. Namely, the migrant crisis, border control, internal security, international trade, the environment, and the completion of the single market.
 
Conservative and ECR MEPs condemn move to further impede use of Glyphosate
 
Members of the European Parliament’s Special Committee on the Authorisation of Pesticides – formed following the debate over the weed killer Glyphosate –this week returned with its findings. For many months now, the committee has been tasked with examining the scientific evaluation of glyphosate, the world's most commonly used weed killer which was relicensed for five years by the EU in December last year.
 
While the report is non-binding, ECR Group shadow rapporteur Anthea McIntyre opposes many of its proposals, which undermine the principle of science-based decision making. They also run counter to much of the evidence gathered by the committee, which demonstrated that the present authorisation system is largely effective and strikes the right balance between food production whilst also safeguarding consumers. Scare stories should not lead the process. The license of Glyphosate, the world’s most popular weed killer, was originally approved by both the European Food Safety Authority and the European Chemical Agency, bodies set up precisely for this kind of advice.
 
A ban would be bad for rural livelihoods, bad for food prices and bad for the environment - because alternative methods to using glyphosate harm biodiversity. It is estimated that banning Glyphosate would cut UK production of winter wheat and winter barley by 12% and oil seed rape by 10%, costing the farming industry £940m a year. Its use also lessens the need for mechanical ploughing, reducing pollution and soil erosion. No biological alternatives are expected to be commercially available in the near future.
 
While the UK negotiates its exit from the EU the decisions made here will still impact British farmers. That’s why Conservative MEPs are still working hard to deliver for our farmers. Even after Brexit our agriculture markets will remain closely associated so getting EU policy right on pesticides is good for Britain in the long term as well.
 
Member-States autonomy over border controls restricted

An EP plenary vote has proposed that i
nternal border checks within the Schengen area should be limited to a maximum of one year, instead of the current two-year period.
 
The Schengen Borders Code, which is currently under revision, enables member-states to carry out temporary checks at internal borders within the Schengen area, in the event of a threat to public order or to internal security. Nevertheless, the vote determined that the initial period for border checks should be limited to two months, instead of the current six-month period; and that border checks couldn’t be extended beyond one year, halving the current maximum limit of two years.
 
Currently six EU member-states have a range of internal border checks in place. Following the vote, the ECR group warned that ideological support for borderless travel should not come before national security issues. It is member-states and their own security and police services who are best placed to determine the necessity for border controls. Furthermore, it is the member-states themselves that bear responsibility for the protection of their people. At a time when the threat of cross-border security concerns remains high, it seems irresponsible to actively reduce the measures available to a nation to ensure the safety of her citizens.
I will be back in touch with you again very soon.  In the meantime you can check my website 
www.nirjdeva.co.uk for regular updates and if I can be of any assistance to you on anything raised here or anything else for that matter, please do not hesitate to contact me at nirj.deva@europarl.europa.eu 
Best wishes,  Nirj Deva MEP
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