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(2019: 1/7,2p, +2)
3.15 Donc - Sky Bet Chase
Art Mauresque - 1 point win 10/1 (Lad/WH/BV/Betf) 9/1 (others)
Willie Boy - 1 point win - 11/1 (bet365) 10/1 (gen)
that's all for this race, 17.55 Friday,
(you can read the below on the blog, and post any of your own fancies, HERE>>>)
I may be mad for taking on the Fav here but I usually can't help myself when they are 3s in a big Saturday handicap chase. He is the right fav, he's progressive, his run LTO was decent enough of course, and King targets this race. But he does have a few questions to answer for me, which he may do today, but I wanted to take him on. If he does fail, we shall see if i've done so with the right two...
Art Mauresque... he's a bit of an enigma but I couldn't help myself at 10s and I think this race may set up perfectly for him. He has a decent handicap chase pot in him. His form is some of the best in this race...i'm not sure another horse in here could chase home Top Notch and Waiting Patiently as he's done in the past and those form-lines make this handicap mark look workable. I don't know what happened LTO but that could just be him, and it was a deep enough race possibly over a trip too short for him now. Two starts back he ran a cracker at Ascot - which is a stiffer 3m than here. He only gave out late there to a very good horse in Traffic Fluide, a big gap back to the rest. There is a niggle about his attitude in a scrap, but I thought Harry may be able to track a strong pace here and deliver him very late. It will take a good ride, and if he hits the front I won't be excited until he crosses the line, but 10s was big enough for me to roll the dice in what looks like ideal conditions for him. Nicholls will be hoping for his second win in the race.
Willie Boy... he is the most interesting one in here for me. He's got his act together for Charlie, has learnt to settle better, and somewhat bolted up LTO hard held really, beating an ok field in the process. He steps up in trip here and is unexposed over 3m. Of course he may not stay but he runs as if he's well worth a crack at it and if he can settle just behind the pace, he could relish it and power home. You want an ok price with this sort and I get it. There's more to come from him I think, and I wanted him onside as he has a different profile to the rest in here. The owners no.1 rider jumps back on and I was excited to see how he'd go. Keep an eye on him for the rest of the season if he doesn't stay.
Of the rest..well I didn't think OO Seven was overpriced at 6s but he's drifting a tad. Federici has been nibbled at and he ran well enough in this last year from out of the handicap. This has no doubt been the plan but I didn't think he'd be good enough. He needs to better that run for me, and I'm not sure why he would, but he could look dangerous after the last and this could be one of those classic Skybet bunch finishes. There's often a few in with a chance over the last. Brian Borana is being nibbled at. He could still have more to come but again I wasn't sure he'd be good enough for this level, is usually held up and can clout a fence. Brooke couldn't be in better form though but I was happy to leave him, even at big odds. Maybe many of these will fall in a hole and he'll come with a late rattle. I thought the rest had enough questions, with a few looking high enough in the handicap (having to defy high marks) and many just not looking good enough to me.
I'd like to think it's between the fav and my two, but time will tell whether i've got that right. A welcome return to some sort of form last week with Wakanda, and hopefully I can follow up in what does look a competitive enough race. (cue Dingo winning by 5l!) :)
Best of luck with any fancies,
Josh |
