Good Morning Friend

1. A special treat... well, I'm sure my fellow Really Super shareholders won't mind, but here's the latest video update that Amy Murphy sent us, with a shot of her working on the grass. It's only 1m18seconds, but you can watch it HERE>>>

That's her above, flying to victory at Kempton. It's all systems go for The Mares Chase, provided some 'good' in the going come race day. With any luck she does herself proud, for all it's frustrating we can't be there. The Irish will be tough to beat in that on ratings, but maybe we'll be scrapping it out with the home team for a place, for all that provided she comes home safe, everything else is always a bonus and it's only the start of an exciting summer ahead. Win number 8 for us won't be too far away. (I think she's worth a very small EW nibble at 33s-50s, but then, I am biased) 

2. Blog Post: Cheltenham Chat, Who Do You Fancy? ... as with every year there's a post up for you to comment with any Festival thoughts, fancies of ante-post wagers if you have them... you can flick through the comments and/or add your own HERE>>> 

3. How To Find Handicap Hurdle Winners At The Festival : READ HERE>>>

This is an old report I've dug out from a couple of years ago, but I thought some of you may be interested in having a flick through. As you may do this one also...

4. My Unique Review of Last Year's Festival : READ HERE>>>

Last year post Cheltenham, what with lockdown #1, I had more time on my hands for reflection than can sometimes be the case. In this report I look back at the previous four days with numerous observations, including a few stats angles of interest. Some of the 'horses to follow' have done ok, and a couple of them find themselves at near the top of the market at this year's Festival. 

*

So, hopefully something above that interests you, or if you're bored and have nothing else to do! :) 

As with every year you'll have the chance to join us on the blog for Festival week - well, from 10am Thursday, through to Sunday 21st May. 

There will be tips - both my Festival Week Tips (inc the Midlands National) and the normal daily members' tips from Adam Norman - we've had a 'so so' season thus far, since 1st November, +36 points at the moment (inc over 50 2nds, which are now starting to hurt, various URs when ahead etc, horrid), and i've personally had a mediocre few weeks - I'm feeling good but in theory that means I'm about to hit some form, but could do with one of my stellar Festival Weeks. At the odds we play at, it can change very quickly in this game. 

2014 (+42.2 points) 2015 (+4) 2016 (+6) 2017 (+62) 2018 (+92) 2019 ( -16) 2020 (-22.3) 

As ever, everything is transparent in these parts. +167 points since 2014 isn't too bad, for all i wouldn't mind them being spread out more evenly, but it never happens like that for me. I'll be working hard to repeat 2017 or 2018, I think we'd take that right now! 

So, they'll be tips, and write ups. They'll likely go up at 6pm the evening before with a final update at around 9am on the day. So you just have to check the blog after those two time points, if you're only interested in the tips. I usually advise a 25-30 point bank for my tips, so the worst case is known beforehand! 

We try to have a bit of fun, for small stakes if you so please. It's not a week to be going too mad in my opinion, but when it clicks, it's great fun. If you only want to risk £45 say, just bet £1.50 per point. 

Some of you may not care for tips, and/or you also like picking your own bets out - that's always been a core part of what I do, hence the various information/reports above to help give you a 'way in', and the free report I've already sent you. Last year I'd have been better just tipping the 'trainer micro' qualifiers! (+27 or so BFSP) 

The 'daily Festival post' goes up the day before, and in 'phase 1' you get all the stats work - the qualifiers against my various angles, the shortlists/longlists  against my big race trends, and the horses representing those trainers who've previously won said race etc. 

There's also the members' comments, and there's usually plenty of chat during the week. We try and have some fun, that's the main aim. 

So, they'll be all that, to use, follow, absorb, ignore as you please :) 

It will only cost you £9.99, and with any luck it's a tenner well spent. 

The 'join' page will go live on Thursday from 10am (HERE>>> - currently the free giveaway page, which will flip over to the join page) - there's no great rush, I can't see a limit on numbers really, so I won't use the 'be quick/don't miss out' sales chat. 

You probably know already if you fancy having my daily content onside for the week. It's a bit different to most other offers out there, where you just get 'tips'. But, you get those also! :) And with any luck I can land on another 25/1 or 50/1 winner, or two. And some shorter priced ones. 

Anyway, that's more than enough for one day. 

I may be in touch on Wednesday with a few more stats snippets if I can find any.

Until then, take care and speak soon, 

Josh