Good Morning,

I'm about to rush out the door to Lingfield, where the RTPS gang will be assembling to watch Golden Mayflower in the last race.

I've had a flick 'through the card' - a long long time since I looked at an AW card (getting my excuses in early!) - my thoughts are below, to use or ignore as you please! Hopefully a winner or two somewhere, although as always, I haven't spent more than 5-7 mins or so on each race, and you always miss something. Still, here's hoping...

11.55 – Dance To Paris – 11/2

12.27 – Rocking Ends – 3/1

13.02- Recuerdame – 11/4

13.37 – Pistoletto – 6/1 / Tarbaan 11/1

14.12 – Shoot To Kill – 6/1

2.47 – Purple Ribbon – 9/2

3.22 – The Bell Conductor – 4/1

3.57 – Golden Mayflower – Each-Way – 11/1

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Dance To Paris – 2/2 over the CD, back on a workable mark, yard in form and LTO may have been a pipe opener. I thought he may give the Fav the most to do, who is unexposed and no shock winner but I’ll take on the shorty favs today and take my medicine if/when I’m wrong! The one niggle is that he can be patiently ridden, so could need luck in running or have to cover more ground. Anyway, he will do.

Rocking Ends – both these first two have shortened a bit since considering but I thought his last run was very good, making all from out wide and relishing the step up in trip, in a race that has produced winner after winner. It looks strong form. I thought he will try and make all here, or at least sit in the first two, and he should be the one to catch in the final furlong. He has to be going close here, for all they’re all unexposed and something else may take a step forward – Tenjin may be worth a saver, but he needs to learn to settle. He’ll be winning when he does, that could be today.

Recuerdame – probably no value here but an impressive winner LTO considering he blew the start and he still finished like a train and won fairly comfortably come the line. I wouldn’t mind him getting away a bit sharper here but that appears to be him. Maybe he won’t quite get there this time but it looks a moderate enough race so I’ll stick with the LTO winner which may count for plenty.

Pistoletto / Tarbaan – the former ticks a lot of profile boxes here and is very well handicapped, even more so with Billy’s excellent claim. The drop back in trip looks a good move and a repeat of two starts back should put him bang there. Amy’s Tarbaan has been in good form the last twice in blinkers and may appreciate this return to slightly further. He won two starts back and was staying on strongly last time also. There could be a little bit more juice in this mark.

Shoot To Kill – he ticks a lot of profile boxes here, proven in all conditions and back on a winnable mark – the niggle is that his return was maybe a bit too poor and it could be he’s another 1 or 2 starts away from striking again, or this has been the plan and he’ll take a big step forward. Marquand has been booked and he’s 1/3 for the yard, usually this horses races prominently on a going day, so will hopefully be up there.

Purple Ribbon – lightly raced, has a bit of class and as such a big weight here. I thought her run LTO was superb in listed company and drops in class here. Taking on this FAV may be idiotic as she won on the bridle LTO with everything else being scrubbed along. It could be she’s just so much better handicapped than this one, but PR will give her more to think about here and at the odds, I’ll have a track side nibble, for all maybe it won’t amount to much. These two should be fighting it out I think and could be clear of the rest

The Bell Conductor – hopefully Paul tries to make all here, in superb form before a break. LTO hopefully blew the cobwebs away but he maybe went too hard up front that day. There looks like more to come as an AW 5f handicapper, hopefully showing it here. 4s looked ok for all a competitive race.

Golden Mayflower – our first flat horse as a Syndicate – she’s been working very well and we’re hopeful of a big run – it’s just what she does in the final 2f. She’s had a more serious wind op and she’ll need to realise she can breathe when asked for an effort. There’s always a chance they remember past experiences, having ‘suffocated’ when asked for an effort on her more recent outings, hence the form. When she does realise it’s all back to normal (and the signs at home are promising) she’s going to look like a very very well handicapped horse. She won around here on her first start, so fingers crossed for a big run.

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Good luck with any bets,

All the best,

Josh