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Onto today, and something from my members' post...
Huntingdon 'through the card'
Below are some notes/pointers for today's meeting at Huntingdon, requested by one of my members who's off to the races. I'm always happy to have a flick through time allowing. Sometimes it goes very well, sometimes not, but in any case hopefully some useful starting points...
2.15 -
Galactic Power 8/1 ... looks the solid 'been there and done it' EW poke in this, albeit he can be moody enough and needs the blinkers to inspire him - which given how 1st CP did 3 starts back they might. Drops back into a weak/open C5 which could be his level now. Solid, if he runs his race.
Age of Wisdom 15/2 - Monks View 11/1 ... they look like the two interesting unexposed ones in this, and my word this is an awful race... the former had some decent flat form over 16f, suggesting he needs/will relish this step up in trip, and he ran ok LTO. Monks View... well he 'could be anything', but I'd suggest nearer the 'could be useless' end of the scale, but he could be good enough to take this on handicap debut... he ran ok at Wincanton two starts back suggesting there was some ability there, and the race LTO may have come too soon. The yard/TJC are going well.
2.50 -
Maybe a race to leave, but Anytime Will Do does look solid here, but does have a fitness question. Could be one to throw in the odd multiple if that's your thing, and certainly one for the placepot. I'd prefer him over Henderson's, given they reach for blinkers which is never a great sign for one at that stage in their jumps career, in the context of price.
He's No Trouble is the win bet in the race i think, given the odds. Bailey does well here in non handicaps and he's shown some ability already. As an 'at the races' win bet i'd prefer him over the other two. (my member is actually a share holder in this one and they do seem bullish enough for a good run)
3.25 -
Thounder... a section 1 stats qualifier, and tipped by Nick... bombproof!! Sadly, having looked, I also really fancy his chance here and have no idea how he was ever 9s. He's lightly raced in handicaps, yet has shown winning form already, including at the course/distance, arrives here in form (he was beat by the right horse LTO, a progressive LTO winner for Skelton who was taking a drop in class, and the one behind him is unexposed also) and he gets the useful 10lb claim - this jockey is worth every pound of that over hurdles, and this one would have won LTO I suspect if he was riding. Moore is in form, and does well in handicaps here. He looks very solid EW, and I really don't think he will be far away here at all. He could be spot on fitness wise also, and he may have still needed his run LTO to some extent - given he PU in the slop at Sandown, then UR early on NTO, before his run at Leicester.
He would be the handicap bet of the day on the card! Gulp. (sorry Nick, you don't deserve such a curse)
(Nick is one of my members who most of us follow, as his tipping is quite extraordinary...+534 points last year to mainly 1 point EW bets... he's around break even the last couple of months, which was overdue, but another spurt will be on the way soon)
4.00 -
Hmm, the fav is solid but short enough... Peppay Le Pugh could be the win bet in the race... or maybe a muggy double with their other one above... Anytime Will Do... this one still looks progressive but yet is more battle hardened than the fav. Not a price i'd take on the sofa, but one i'd have a nibble at track side! You do want winners when you go racing.
4.35 -
Air De Rock - 9/4
Maybe that price isn't overly generous but I really do think he's the one to beat here... he should relish this step back up in trip and has been running very well.. he'd have won 3 starts back but for losing concentration and just walking through the last at Ffos Las, he should have won his next start, and again his jockey didn't make enough use of him LTO. They were still decent runs which suggest this mark could still be lenient. He's a solid jumper who will race on the pace- the good ground is a niggle/an unknown, which is why his price may be skinny enough I suppose, but if he stands up I thought he was the one they all had to beat and he could demolish these.
I'm not backing a Leech horse at 3s, a yard i'm never destined to get right.
The Captain... EW - one for Nick and the Sean Bowen chase test micro... I can see the appeal, he's lightly raced and runs as if he will relish this step up in trip. They reach for blinkers which suggests they don't think he's putting it in/concentrating , and clearly that can always go one of two ways. Sean will have him handy enough I suspect and it may be clear after 2 fences what his fate is - if he's settled, jumping and going the pace the jockey wants, he should be thereabouts after the last.
5.10-
I wouldn't want to back either of the top two at the price, although you'd expect one to go close. I'd be more interested in the Hobbs horse if the yard were a bit hotter... she does have the best form to date in the race, that 2nd to Posh Trish two starts back reads very well now. But she then ran poorly and has had a break since - maybe she had a problem.
Illuminated Beauty and Little Millie may be the ones for small track-side change... the former is unexposed and Bailey is 7/21,15p with all non handicappers here over this distance, +15, in the last 5 years - 3/13,6p in C4 non-hncp hurdles... she's a point winner so you never know. Little Millie likes placing in handicaps but has a solid level of form to a point - she will need a couple to under-perform, or not actually be any good - that is possible - given she drops in trip here Bryony may be aggressive and have her up there. Not the worst of bets, but again don't be shocked if the top 2 finish in that order! I couldn't touch them at the prices though, even with a 'i want winners' mindset.
Best of luck
Josh
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