Hello Friend
A few random mid-week snippets today including some trainers to keep an eye on in National Hunt Flat races when the mud is flying, a Cheltenham Festival angle you may have missed,+ some other snippets, TTP Results, and something to read for those of you with any interest in football trading...
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NHF trainers...
In today's blog post I've had a quick look at a few trainers who seem to do well in NHF races when the ground is heavy. This elite bunch can clearly get these inexperienced horses fit enough to do themselves justice in the most tiring of conditions.
You can flick through/note/use/ignore those HERE>>>
Also in that post are the usual micro angles (TJC Live Test definitely worth keeping an eye on) and a realisation that I am not that good at what you would call 'form analysis' and it was about time I did something about it. Plus the usual reader comments which continue to churn out the winners.
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Trainer Track Profiles/Members Club: Results...
For anyone interested I have updated results for 2017 to date, with links to a couple of spreadsheets and some analysis of the different approaches.
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Cheltenham Festival...
If you missed my Cheltenham angle in recent emails that is below...
• Horse ran at Leopardstown LTO
• Running in a handicap at Cheltenham
• IRISH Bred
• 4 or fewer career wins
• 25/1 or shorter SP
since 2012, at least 1 win every year: 27 bets / 6 wins / 12 places / +97.56 BFSP
I have started my Handicap big race trends/stats research and as always the odd stat pops out.
In the Ultima Handicap Chase on day one, those runners with 4 or more chase wins are now 0/66,5p in the last 10 years. That should knock out 6/7 runners with any luck.
In the Coral Cup on Day 2, excluding those with recent form abroad, those that ran within the previous 30 days are now 0/96, 10 places. That will hopefully knock out a few, and fingers crossed it isn't the winner!
I am three handicaps down now, only 7 to go. I had better get back to it.
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Finally...
Football Trading...
My good friend Steve (well I say good friend, I have met him twice now in some London pubs,but he is a top bloke) runs the brilliant blog Goal Profits.com.
For those of you who like your football betting and trading this is a must read. Steve emailed me a month or so ago with some free case studies he pulled together.
These are below and if you like such things, or want to learn more about football trading, they are a great read...
Over to Steve...
Case Study 1: This was my trading on Thursday 29th December 2016 and includes a profit from Italy's Serie B - which I know nothing about! And that's the point; Team Stats does all the hard work so that Goal Profits members can profit quickly and easily
Read HERE>>>
Case Study 2: This follows my trading on New Years Day 2017. I started trading English non-league games at 3pm and was all done two hours later. Read HERE>>>
Case Study 3: Here's how I traded three Premier League games on 3rd January 2017 and made £78.30 profit. Team Stats did me proud with this one, identifying that Stoke had scored in 4/4 first halves v bottom half teams... now 5/5. Very valuable information!
*** With any luck you find something of interest/value in that lot,
All the best , Josh
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