17/08/15

5.45 Ross Common Captain Cullen 

Ideal Cond, 8-15 Days, Class IRE 5-10k

Form in Cond. 16,1,1,8,1, 9, 2 (1/23, 5 places outside) 

Positives. Having should have won last time out in conditions at 12/1 when running into trouble at the wrong time he won for the first time outside of conditions LTO. He has conditions here and is 1/1 over CD. He has won off OR85, and with the jockey claim is racing off OR83, so that should be within reach. 

Negatives. None really in terms of profile and race conditions. He can be frustrating and does need luck in running but if it all comes together he wont be that far away here. 

My Verdict. 1 point win 7/1 (SkyB, Coral) 6/1, 11/2, general. 

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Non Qualifiers 

-4.10 Thirsk - Relight My Fire - All handicap wins Good to Firm, 0/13, 3 places on Good or worse to date. 0/5, 0 places track, yet to prove stamina over this trip.

-5.10 Thirsk - Keep it Dark. All wins 1-11 runners. 0/22, 6 places 12+ runners. Everything else is ok, but he is a tricky horse that likes to run alone, not surrounded by other horses - clearly tricky the more runners there are. 

8.05 Wind - If I Were A Boy - 0/13, 3 places OR71+, still 2lb above highest winning mark but been running well and all race conditions fine, also well fancied in market. 

***

Josh