Hello Friend

17/06/15

2.5 Hamilton Gold Beau

Ideal Cond. 6f, good to firm, C5 or below

Form in Cond. 1,1,1,4,1 (0/17, 2 places outside)

Positives. in genera he has his conditions and is 2/5, 3 places over CD. With the jockey claim he is handicapped to go well.

Negatives. Well the official going is tricky. It is officially Good (Good to Frim in places). He is 0/11, 1 place on official good going. It is meant to be raining as I write, so it is hard to tell what the going will be. He is also 0/16, 2 places above 6/1.

My Verdict. No Bet for now. I need to wait to see if there is rain and if it gets in. If according to the Racing Post there is Good to Firm in the official description he will be a 1/2 point EW bet. He looks to be another big priced selection who only goes in when there is market support, so we shall see.

5.00 Ascot Dark Emerald

Ideal Cond. 7f-8f, Straight Course

Form in Cond. 1,5,1,1,1 (0/9, 4 places outside this)

Positives. He has his conditions.

Negatives. OR98 his highest winning mark in the UK and he runs off OR111 here. He won off OR106 in Dubai and is 5lb above that mark.

My Verdict. No Bet. To my eye he looks to be too high in the handicap based on his last runs and I think this will be too much to overcome.

6.40 Ripon Fathom Five

Ideal Cond. April, May, June C3 or below

Form in Cond. 9,1,1,1,1,8,9,9,10,1,3,1,1,1,19,13, 13, 5, 6, 5 , 2, 8, 9, 8

Positives. He has his 'conditions' again. All race conditions fine and he is 1/2 over CD

Negatives. Well he is out of form and doesn't look like he is about to take advantage of his reduced mark.

My Verdict. No Bet. He now looks regressive and I won't bet anymore on him although is interesting that connections keep running him. Maybe he will go in at some point but on recent form I can't back him.

9.10 Ripon Valantino Oyster

Ideal Cond. Right Handed, May-Aug, OR70 or below

Form in Cond. 1,1,7,4,16,1,1,12,5,3,1,3,4,1,5,1,1,  2 (1/19, 3 places outside this)

Positives. He has his condition, is well handicapped and is 2/5, 4 places over CD. He is 3/10, 6 places for this jockey.

Negatives. None

My Verdict. 1 point win 8/1 (general). He has his conditions and if you ignore his last run LH (1/16) then he is in decent form. He is also the only out and out front runner and should get an easy time up front.

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Non Qualifiers

None.

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All the best

Josh