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5.05 Bev City Ground
Ideal Cond. Good to Firm Form in Cond. 1,1,2,1,10 3 (0/12, 2 places outside)
Positives. Gets his fav ground again and it a track winner, and has won for this jockey. Ran ok last time out in 3rd.
Negatives. Is 0/4, 1 place when running shorter than 9.5f, and is 0/7, 1 place 12+ runners. Also drawn wide and it could be challenging to get near the front.
My Verdict. 1/2 point win 11/2 (Betv/PP) The distance is a concern as is the liking for smaller fields but he should run his race, and maybe if the race is more strongly run that could help, if unable to lead. It is an amateur riders handicap as well. All wins when 6/1 or under.
*** 6.00 Ffos Las Eastern Dragon
Ideal Cond. 16-30 days, C5 or 6. Form in Cond. 1,1,1 7,5 (1/14, 4 places outside)
Positives. Has his conditions again and all race conditions are fine, versatile ground wise. He has run poorly on both starts to date. His penultimate run in a higher class was ok and he gets some assistance with a decent claimer this time. He is now 0/3, 1 place Epsom so maybe his last run can be ignored to an extent.
Negatives. He is in and out of form and is hard to predict.
My verdict 1/2 point EW 10/1 (ToteS,Betfred,PP,Ladbrokes) He is worth another chance in what looks like a competitive race on paper an EW bet may be best here. All wins when 8/1 or under but has placed when sent off up to 12/1 and the jockey claim could make some difference.
*** 6.45 Ling Rambo Will
Ideal Cond. 8-30 days; Class 5 or lower, OR70 or lower Form in Cond. 1,3,3,3,1,1,5,1 , 10, 4, 1
Positives. All race conditions fine and comes here after winning for us last time out. Drop in trip fine and SDS rides again so he must be expected to run a decent race for the title chasing jockey. He could make all up against the near side rail.
Negatives. None really. No reason on paper at least why he wont run his race.
My Verdict . 1 point win 5/2 (general)
*** Non Qualifiers
-2.00 Bev El Bravo - likes Pontefract -2.55 Salis Lutine Charlie - tends to peak in September, so should be coming to boil soon (4/6, 6 places September) -7.25 Leop. Bold Thady Quill - used to peak in June, 0/17, 6 places August onwards. 4/10, 6 places June -8.00 FL - Annaluna - 0/7, 3 places when returning 1-15 days, 5/6, 6 places 16-30 days. Does run over preferred trip here, having won over a shorter distance last time, bumps into some progressive types here.
*** Josh
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