Hello Friend
12/06/15
3.50 Sand Chain of Events
Ideal Cond. 10f, May and June Form in Cond. 1,2,2,7,3,6,1,1,1,1,1 6 (0/19, 3 places outside)
Positives. He has his conditions and is 3lb below his highest winning mark. All other race conditions/profile are fine. Hayley Turner is 2/9, 3 places on the horse. He is also 4/9, 6 places over CD.
Negatives. Well the market has yet to settle but his price ranges from 8/1 - 16/1. To date he is 0/16, 2 places when priced above 8/1 which would suggest some kind of market support is important.
My Verdict. 1 point win (16/1 Coral, 9/1-12/1 elsewhere) Tomorrow may not be his day according to the market and a few have been running clunkers recently but when they have their conditions I will back them as you can never be 100% sure when they will go in. He ticks the profile, all race conditions are fine and he is handicapped to go well.
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Non Qualifiers
- Maven/Silvery Moon (2.30 York)
- Green Howard / Kalk Bay / Sunraider (3.40 York)
- Gran Canaria Queen (4.10 York)
- Dr Irv/Rosairlie (4.40 York)
- Valantino Oyster (5.15 York)
- Euroquip Boy (6.55 Chepstow)
All the best, Josh
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