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2.55 Bev Keep It Dark
Ideal Cond. 1-15 Days, 11 runners or fewer, OR80 or below
Form in Cond. 1,5,2,5,1,1,6,1,8 , 6,6, 7 (0/24, 7 places outside)
Positives. He has his conditions again and is fine in all race conditions He is handicapped to go in again at some point.
Negatives. Well he is a bit of a character who has his own views on the game from time to time and he does look completely out of sorts. He does like to race alone and clearly has two ways of running.
My verdict. 1/2 point win 12/1.(market not really formed) Race conditions are fine and all wins have been when 12/1 or under. (0/10, 2 places above this, so any bigger price a concern).If he decides he wants to race he would be very dangerous, which why he could well be a no bet due to form, I want something on albeit it is hard to be hopeful.
*** 3.30 Bev Tom Sawyer
Ideal Cond. Aug,5f, Good/Good to Firm
Form in Cond. 1,6,1,2,1,3,1 5 (2/23, 6 places outside)
Positives. All race conditions and everything looks set for him to run his race again. He ran ok last time but was never really put into the race and for one that likes to race a bit more prominently I think maybe he just didn't like it. From memory he didn't have the perfect track position either. He is better drawn here to go forward, although there are other prominent racers in here again.
Negatives. Well he won twice this season for first time before August and his mark may just be on the high side now, although yet to prove conclusively he cant win from it.
My Verdict. 1 point win - market is forming. I think he deserves another chance given his form before his last run and I more competitive run would be no surprise.
***
4.10 Wexford Sheila's Wish
Ideal Cond. 1m3.5f-1m4f; August and September
Form in Cond. 2,1,1,3,1,1,9,4,3,12 9 (0/21, 5 places outside)
Positives. Well she is running just shy of optimum distance but ran well in 2nd over a bit shorter LTO, improving on her record when this jockey is on, now 4/9, 6 places - all wins under him. She is also 2/2 at the track. Given the return to form last time and fact this jockey is up again she should run her race.
Negatives. None really. I can see no reason why she wont run her race.
My Verdict. 1 point win (market not fully formed)
*** Non Qualifiers
-2.20 Bev - Confessional - hard to predict, but runs better races at Haydock. -4.40 Bev -Kalk Bay - normally best returning within 15 days, 0/14, 3 places after 30 days. But he is 3/5, 4 places in August. Relight My Fire...good to firm horse, 0/9, 1 place on Good. True Pleasure...out of form, 0/7, 12+ runners. -5.20 Red - Merchant of Dubai - 0/22, 7 places LH, 1/34, 8+ runners. 6.10 Newm - Ballesteros - won for first time for Fahey LTO, outside of previous rest pattern. May now not have a profile. Race conditions look fine again, 0/3, 0 places returning within 7 days to date.
*** Good Luck Josh
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