Hello Friend
3.45 Roscommon: Sheilas Wish
Ideal Cond. August/Sept 1m3.5f- 1m4f Form in Cond. 2,1,1,3,1,1,9,4,3,12, 9,5
Positives. All race conditions fine and went close a couple of runs back over slightly shorter, although bar that run has been slightly disappointing.
Negatives. All wins were under C Keane and he failed to win on her on her last two starts. A more inexperienced jockey rides today who is only 1/66 in career to date.
My Verdict. 1/2 point EW 16/1 (BV 4 places) - most have 4 places here which makes an EW bet more tempting, rather than 1/2 to win say. This is her time of year and has been running well enough albeit she doesn't win that often.
*** Non Qualifiers
4.20 Ham - Silver Alliance - best on Good to Firm and all wins 1-7 runners 4.50 Ham - Jordaura - has been winning on Good this year when was previously more predictable with juice in ground. Not so much of a profile now. All other conditions fine and is 4/13, 8 places returning within 7 days and is 1/1 over CD, so a decent run would be no surprise.
*** Josh
|