Subject: Flat Profiles: 22/09/15

Hello Friend

5.00 Beverley Uncle Brit 

Ideal Cond: 8f-9.5f; OR60 or below ; 1-120 days
Form in Cond. 1,1,2,1,6,7 3,1, 4 , 4 (012, 1 place outside) 

Positives. Not as robust a profile as some but he has his conditions again and has been in ok form. He comes here after a slight break but he has won/placed after similar gaps over jumps and on the flat - fitness should be fine and the break may have done him good. The big field may well help as he does stay well. All race conditions fine. 

Negatives. All wins so far have been when 8/1 or under, although he has placed a couple of times at bigger prices. Fitness is just the one concern but as I said his record gives us hope, and the market may well indicate whether he is spot on today. 

My Verdict. 1 point win 10/1 / 11/ 1 (general) If he is fit he should run his race - there are 4 places to aim at here and maybe EW would be more sensible but I will stick with win only today. 

***
Non Qualifiers 

-3.30 Bev - Ellaal (Mulrennan usually go to man)field size concerns, 0/7 this jockey. FAZZA - interesting, in general everything is fine, bar a concern over the trip. All flat handicap wins over 1m, 0/13, 1 place further, although only 100 yards further here. Does look out of form and only 1/17, 2 places RH. 
4.00 Bev - Relight My Fire - best on good to firm, 0/11, 1 place good. Also field size concerns - 0/16, 0 places 12+ runners. True Pleasure - 5/8 in C5, so back down to right level, but 0/8, 1 place 12+ runners. 
5.30 Jordaura - most predictable returning 1-7 days. 

***
Josh 








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