Hello Friend
2.15 Chester
1. Chosen Character
Ideal Cond. 1-15 days, C3 ((<£10k) or under Form in Cond. 1,1,13,3,3,1,1,2,4,1,1,10,14,1,7,9 6 (1/38, 13 places)
Positives.This race is C3 and it is worth £10+ - he has only raced in this level of C3 once, unplaced. He has conditions again for second time this season. Most race conditions fine.
Negatives. He is not in the greatest form and is drawn very wide here. It is very hard to get out and across from there and his race could be over pretty quickly. He is 0/26, 5 places above 8/1.
My Verdict. 1/2 point win 20/1. This is tricky from the draw but I want to have something on at those odds just in case.
2. Dream Walker
Ideal Cond. Good to soft or worse, C3 or below Form in Cond. 1,2,10,2,8,6,2,1,1,1,1,5,2,1 8 (0/23, 6 places outside)
Positives. He has conditions and most race conditions fine...
Negatives. Another with a wide draw and he does make a quick return, but he should like this ground better.
My Verdict. 1/2 point win 14/1. The draw tempers all out enthusiasm for either of these but it is not impossible to win from there so may be best to have something on.
***
4.35 Chester Keep it Dark
Ideal Cond. 1-15 days; 11 runners or fewer ; OR 80 or below Form on Cond. 1,5,2,5,1,1,6,1,8,6,6 7 8 (0/25, 7 places)
Positives. Has conditions again, majority of race conditions fine.
Negatives. He is now 0/10, 1 place going LH, all wins on straight course. He is also drawn wide here and there is a lot of pace in here so he will not be able to get out and over I don't think. He is also out of form and hasnt shown much life in 3 runs in conditions to date. All wins 12/1 or under, 0/15, 3 places when bigger. He is also only 1/14 in C4
My Verdict. No Bet - my verdicts have been iffy at best so it is probably wise to take this with a pinch of salt - but he does looks up against it here.
*** Non Qualifiers
-2.15 Chest Green Howard - 0/19 C3 -2.35 Donc Another Wise Kid - 0/12 C2, 0/23 12+ runners -3.55 Bath - Meetings Man - won for us last time out and race conditions are generally all fine. However there are 8 runners in here- 1/11 with 8+, and there are plenty of other front runners in here, but he could give it a good go. -6.55 Muss - Merchant of Dubai - only 1/35 with more than 7 runners, but all other race conditions ok, is fancied in market and has a decent enough course record. San Cassiano - best 1-7 days, 0/7, 0 places at the trip. 7.20- Bold Thady Quil - usually peaks in June.
*** Good Luck Josh
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