Subject: Flat Profiles: 04/09/15

Hello Friend

3.35 Haydock Megaleka 

Ideal Cond. 5f, Gd-Soft/Soft, C4 or below 
Form in Cond. 2,1,1,1,1 (2/23, 7 places outside) 

Positives. All race conditions look fine and while she has a clear liking for Nottingham (3/5, 4 places) she has won a few times away from there. She does run ok in other conditions but has been best to predict when there is some juice in the ground,and she looks to have a clear class ceiling. Big fields are no problem to her and she has won up to 20/1. Her highest mark to date is OR79 after claims, but she won that impressively (her last win) and is only 2lb higher here. Excuses can be made for last two runs and she could be spot on, this being third run after a short break. 

Negatives. Well none really. There is no reason on paper/profile why she wont run her race. 

My Verdict. 1 point win 16/1.(general) There are 'only' three places and maybe an EW bet would be more prudent,but I am happy to go all out here. 

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5.15 Muss Imperial Legend 

Ideal Cond. July, August, September; 5f; OR80 or below; Class 4<£6k
Form in Cond. 6,13,4,1,1,1,1,2,4,3,1,2 4, 8 , 3 (0/30, 5 places outside)

Positives. There were more signs of life last time out and all race conditions look fine again. He has won over CD and under this jockey and is certainly handicapped to go in at some point if putting it all together.

Negatives. Well the Visor returns here, he is 0/4, 1 place in it with all wins in cheekpieces, that isnt conclusive and maybe they will spark him up further. He is also 0/4, 0 places 1-7 runners but that could just be one of those things. Wins have come from the back, front, and when tracking leaders, so he doesnt have to come through runners or need plenty of pace to aim at. 

My Verdict. 1 point win 5/1 (SB) 9/2 (general) He is worth chancing again albeit it feels like it is getting near last chance saloon territory. Hopefully he can run well again here. 

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4.00 Newc Cool Baranca - is best on Soft on the flat and over further. 
4.10 Hay - Chosen Character - 7/21, 10 places when returning 1-15 days, 1/21, 10 places 16-30 days (today). Bar that all race conditions look fine, he is 1/2 over CD - all wins when 8/1 or under. He is handicapped to go in again. 
4.40 Hayd - Navajo Chief - used to be good after a break/york, wheels have come off a bit. 0/5, 0 places beyond 9f, looks out of sorts.
6.15 Muss - Opt Out - his profile has somewhat gone now, having developed more stamina this year. 

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Good Luck 
Josh 






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