Hello Friend
From the members' post, a look at the 3.35 from York...some stats / trends / pointers to use as you please...
Big Race Stats /Trends
3.35 – Hambleton Handicap
(stats pool...10 winners from 144 runners, 34 places,inc wins)
9/10 sent off 12/1< SP. (1/72, 8p bigger)
9/10 carried 9-00- 9-4 (exc claims) (9/43, 15p, +38)
9-5+ : 0/16, 2p (average 1.6 runners per year, x6 runners this year 9-5+ suggesting more higher rated runners than can be the case)
- 8-13< : 1/85, 17p
- 9/10 top 5 in the weights (9/56, 16p)
7/10 had yet to run at York
Other
- 0-2 handicap runs: 0/29, 8p
- 3-6 hncp runs: 6/28, 11p
- Won LTO: 0/19,4p
Track LTO
Haydock: 3/16, 4p
Newb: 2/16, 5p
Ascot: 2/10,3p
X1: Newmarket (Row) , Sand, Kemp
Thirsk: 0/19, 3p
Donc: 0/13,2p
Trainers (prev winners with runners)- Ledham (Stoute: 1/11,7p)
- Plutonian ( C Hills: 1/1)
Stats Longlist
Not really a great 'trends' race for my approach. Top 5 in the weights appears to be the main pointer, but of course there has been one lower weighted winner (clear bottom weight) in the last decade… top 5...
Beringer / Hortzadar / Plutonian T / Escobar / Whats The Story / Tricorn
From that list above only Hortzadar has had 0-2 handicap runs, and such inexperience hasn’t been a positive in the last 10 renewals, however the placed runners are fine so that may be broken at some stage. The market often gets this right, 12/1<.
My Shortlist
Beringer 5/1 / Whats The Story 8/1 / Plutonian 20/1
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Best of luck with your fancies, Josh |
