Good Afternoon, Friend

Below I have today's two tips from my Members' Club. I'm sure they won't mind, and have had enough time to get on. Of course, this email to the wider list is often a curse but I don't think there's anything logical in that! :)

First up however, and I'll keep this brief - I'm in the process of syndicating our first ever flat horse to run and be trained in France by Amy Murphy (for all if he does well, he could pay for a UK raid somewhere) He'll be our 14th horse, and with number 15 to come soon, a jumper with Toby Lawes south of London near Dorking.

His name is Al Ameed, he's a beast as you can see above. A slow maturing 4YO who now looks the finished article, purchased out of the Crisford's yard, with a mad level of form in novice/maiden races where he bumped into numerous 90/95+ horses, often at level weights, running well. He's still a maiden and should bolt up on his first start or two in the next 3-4 weeks, hopefully bringing in £20-30k, including his 45% French Premiums, where French Bred horses win the prize money pot, and then get 45% again on top! (it's 75% for 2/3YOs, madness)

He's currently rated OR82, with much more to come, and if owning a classy flat horse in France intrigues or excites you, along with the prospect of actually making some money (or covering all his costs as a worst case) then do find out more below..

CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT MORE AND SECURE YOUR SHARE >>>

We only have around 5% left for now, so be quick :)

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Today's Tips

3.35 Taunt – Robinsville – 4/1 (WH, Lad, BV)

3.52 MR – Belvedere Blast – 7/1 (888) 13/2 (gen) 8.8 (Betfair Exch)

*prices correct at time of posting this morning/available for a good 45 minutes after.

Notes –

Robinsville – one for the inform Joe Tizzard and Freddy G here, couple of lb out the handicap but I don’t think that will make a difference (esp with Freddie’s 3lb claim) and he may appreciate 10-2 on his back, well, 9-13 with the claim, as I don’t think he’s a brute of a chaser. His 3rd around NA in June was decent, the front two winning again not long after, two well handicapped horses, a C4. He then didn’t finish off his races a couple of times, and they gave him a wind op before his last run, first start in 93 days or so, where he ran well over the CD. A bit wide, pecked 3 out when just starting to roll, he finished off from the back of the last like a horse who was well handicapped to my eyes. I’d expect him to strip fitter here, be sharper, and often 2nd time after an op is the time to get them, especially if the horse now knows he can breathe. He is a maiden, but only 0/5,3p over fences, with some good efforts and I don’t think an attitude problem. I thought 4s was worth a go here in an open race on paper.

Camulus may win again but this is a different track to Leicester, and I decided he’d get outpaced a bit around here and tapped for toe. He has also jumped out to his left when running RH around sharper tracks before. I may be wrong on both those points but they were my reason for opposing, and he beat an exposed 11YO LTO, for all I suspect more to come, but up in class. I think the capper may have Safe Destination now, I hope so, or in any case a 6lb swing with the selection from last start. However, he is tough, solid, CD winner and should give it a good go. Exmoor Forest may spoil the party but hard to say that 106 looks a gift on recent evidence, he can be a hard ride at times, lose his spot, and stay on. I can see a big run, a repeat of LTO may be enough, the dolled out fences there maybe not helping him, but getting Hawke runners right is tough, 11/191 in the last year, 5.7% wsr, 10% with his chasers though. I wasn’t sure he was lobbed in, and the selection could be better weighted receiving chunks.

Belvedere Blast – I couldn’t leave him at 13/2 in this line up, returned to his favourite course as a hurdler where he’s won x3. That includes a win two starts back, when beating a selection of mine of Jonjo’s, who was last seen at Kelso winning hard held on the bridle, unbacked, urgh. That is solid form and the best recent form on show here for me, and he did that fairly easily come the line. He’s won off higher marks before, I think still well handicapped and this 10lb claimer evidently gets on well with him. Musselburgh was ok, but maybe that ground was soft enough, it looked mucky ground, and maybe 3m in such a race/conditions, does just stretch him. I’m hoping this rides ok today, always a tricky time of year with going, it can dry/sticky/raced on plenty, the sort some handle, many don’t. They also put the visor back on, which may spark him back to life, he’s won in blinkers before, not the visor but hasn’t had many goes in ideal conditions, and maybe it will help him. It may not of course, but 13/2 worth chancing. IF he returned to the level of two starts ago around here, I thought he’d take some beating to my eyes and this was a silly price to find out.

Geordie Night may take this, a maiden, I think he’s looked a bit soft under pressure the last twice and i’m not convinced on him if he has to battle, and nor whether 3m in what could be a tactical race, will suit. The form of his last race is working out very very well, for all at a 0-90 level. He’s had 53 days off, not assured to be in the same form, and landing on Nick Kent winners isn’t easy, 2/80 in the last year, 3/61 with his hurdlers the last two years. I’ll happily oppose and if he wins this at 6/4, fair play.

Burrows Hall is now 0/5,0p from marks above 100, his last race may have fell apart a bit, but entitled to go well. Realta Liath, a nice looking mare, future chaser, handicap debut, yard hit a bit of so so for, I wasn’t sure on her, hard to get a grip on, run two starts back decent, but nothing around her has really franked the form, and possibly makes this mark look steep enough, we shall see.

Anyway, Belvedere for me, he still looks to be in form to my eyes and I expect a big effort back here, with that solid form from two starts ago.

Good luck with any bets,

Josh

p.s Anther big race winner on Saturday, Famous Bridge winning around Haydock at 9/1>6/1. if you ever wish to trial my Members' Club, CLICK HERE >>>