Good Morning, Friend,
Plenty for you to muse over today...
I hope you're having a great week. I had a decent time at Goodwood on Tuesday, for my since my first trip the course, and I'll be back. If you've never been, go! We had x16 owners there and they looked after us very well. A shame they'd over-watered the place (all summer maybe!), the ground turning Good to Soft/sticky after 5mm rain in 8 days (I'm still baffled).
Our Coolree ran well in 6th, hitting traffic at the wrong time, which cost him a top 3-5 finish, but he did also struggled to pick up out of the ground. He handled it, but is much better on quicker - which we thought it would be. Alas. Hopefully he gets dropped a lb or two and we will go again. He's got plenty more wins in him. He's at his best when ridden with some restraint, which does mean he'll be unlucky plenty, but that's racing for you.
Onto today... down below I have something a bit different... well, in my free Telegram Chat group I've started pulling together some 'stats starting points' a few days a week, and they've been highlighting plenty of winners. (losers as well of course). They've been popular so far. At some point I may start posting them on the blog, but they're proving a decent 'way in' for further analysis, and I know many of you get a kick from finding/backing your own winners. This is a bit different to previous approaches of mine to daily stats content, and it looks a big improvement.
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Thursday's Stats Starting Points
*The below are NOT tips... they're 'ways in' to help give us all some focus, save us some time, and give us an edge, before doing a bit more work and deciding if you wish to back them.
19.10 Newb -
Justcallmepete - H J Evans & Joe Leavy are 3/5,3p together in last 30 days. Trainer/jockey in the last year together, all rides, 12/52, 27p, +38. Appearing to use Joe's claim to good effect.
Regal Envoy - Knight/Wilkie continue to tick along, 3/7 last 30 days, 12/38, 19p, +50 last year. William using Bs 5lb claim well. A chance he gets an easy lead here.
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Ryan Moore continues to ride superbly, 11/22, 12p last 14 days, a few rides at Salisbury today, some short as always.
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Grant Tuer has hit some decent form, 5/12,9p, +27 last 14 days, x2 runners in 4.55 Wolves, but a string to note in coming days maybe. X13 winners in prev 90 days total, string a bit so so most of season, hopefully a few more to come/they've turned a corner.
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Tom Clover (5.35 Ling, a few runners in days to come) another in similar position, x14 winners prev 90 days, but 5/12,9p +13 in last 14 days.
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Ed Walker remains in solid form, 25% last 14 days 7/27, 14p +45 (all runnner worth a glance), 2/5,3p with Saffie in that time, together in last year 24/110, 41p, +35 SP. Team up Salis in 3.50, 4.25, 5pm.
He sends a few to Newb also. George Downing on a couple (4.06, 6.10) and they're 3/10, 5p +4 in last year.
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Haggas is just a machine when on fire as we know, still ticking over with main man Tom M riding, but don't discount when stable number 2 is on, Cieren Fallon...
Together in last year, all rides, 38/131, 63p, +61 SP. Team up today at Newb, 4.05, 6.10.
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5.30 Salis - User Amistoso - Michael Bell done well in last year when booking Oisin, 4/11,4p +17. Yard do well here.
Oisin rides course well, 10/28, 16p +13 last year so all his x6 rides here today may he worth a second glance.
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David O'Meara and stable jockey Danny Tudhope have been having a solid time of it recently, 7/21, 11p last 30, 3/11, 5p last 14. 4/13,7p +34 together at Haydock in last year. Yard throw lots of darts and not easy landing on right ones, team up today in 2.40, 3.10, 4.17, 4.50. And tomorrow here in 3.45 and 4.20
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5.20 Hayd - Muqinah - still remains case can back Owen Burrowns 60+ day returners blind, last 3 years, 15/45, 24p, + 21.
Of some mild interest 'maybe', Jim Crowley could have ridden this one for retained owners, but goes to Newbury, for a 2YO debutant in 4.05. Whether that means anything, we shall see. It could be he likes being on shadwell debutans for education/feedback etc. Got a few rides on the card but Shadwell horses will have dictated where he was. 2YO is very well bred as you'd expect. Could be more a positive for this horse, rather than a neg for the Burrows horse.
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James Fanshawe's Salisbury runners always worth a look give 6/19, 11p, +12 here last 5 years, 3/8, 6p last year. And Yard in form, 7/27, 17p +18 last 14 days. 2.50/3.20. Given Yard form other runners worth glance also in coming days. Horses at Hayd and Wolves today also. Uses Muscutt plenty and here's here at Salis but I don't know if for these ones or not, possibly.
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Finally....
6.45 Clonmel, New Years Honours...Gordon Elliott 9/30, 12p, +8, at Clonmel last year all runners. Only 2 runners on flat in that time here.
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I think that's enough for one day! A bit to muse over as always, NOT TIPS, but a way in, horses/races to take a closer look at if you so wish.
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As always, thanks for reading,
All the best,
Josh
p.s don't forget to check out the BetBold 90 Day Trial. It closes at 9pm tonight, so be quick. Click HERE >>>
