Good Afternoon, Friend
October was a great month, very profitable, how will November treat us?
Today I have an update on how my October has gone, how the Sept/Oct monthly angles performed, which I sent out for free, and a new free post for you down below, with four trainers to follow in November.
+31.35 points... +£156.75p to £5 bets...
Yesterday's Hobbs/White winner, Madaket , rounded of a decent first month back in the daily blogging chair. From the emails received, I know a few of you had a go, and it was generally an exciting watch at Chepstow, bar the odd novicey jump. More to come from him for sure.
That's as bullish as I'll ever get for a C5 handicap hurdler, he pretty much ticked every box - a strong trainer stats foundation, yard in form, horse unexposed, 'doing something different' (hncp debut/up in trip), a summer to develop and mature, and 'hot form' galore, which is essential for me when working out if a horse is well handicapped.
Job done. Now I just need to find a few more like that!
Looking back at my October, and those horses I've posted on the blog, that I liked and I've backed with my own money... whether using my 'stats qualifiers' as a way in, a 'big race trends' handicap, some eye-catchers or my bread and butter, a 3m+ staying handicap chase...
52 bets / 7 wins / 25 places (inc wins) / 13.5% win sr / 48% win|place / +31.35 points profit / 30% ROI
That profit is to 9am odds, if betting my selections 2 point win, or 1 point EW when I advise 'EW'.
To 1 point win and 1/2 point EW, +15.6 points.
Betting £5 per point, that's either +£156.75p, or +£78
I'll take that! I won't quote figures to moronic £50 bets, I'm not sure many bet to such figures?! I certainly don't. I know most of you are £2 to £10 punters, and there's nothing wrong with that! Actually, it's to be applauded.
But most trialists may have paid for their winter subs already, with a fair bit left over also.
All good fun. Now, I try not to think of myself as a 'tipster' and I don't assign 'points' to my bets (for all I believe level stakes is best for me) - maybe it's a phycological trick, but by not doing so it does make me a bit braver, and not scared of putting up losers, which is the worst disease in this game. I also don't just 'tip', there's always reasoning, and some members like to cogitate, assess the info, and decide whether they agree! Maybe they leave some, or put more on others!
However, just following me in has worked well this month, we'll see what November brings! Many members will view them as 'tips'! Whatever I'm doing, it's working.
Maybe I've matured like a fine wine, but I've never felt in a better place on the blog and as confident in future success.
I'm really happy with my balance and variety of content, and my approach. Having a full day off from analysing races (Monday, my 'Syndicate Day') has really helped also. I no longer just focus on 3m+ chases, in fact I think only 2 of those winners above were in such race types! My stats have been doing very well which helps!
I'd have liked more winners, but I had x18 horses 2nd-4th, ouch! They included a nose 2nd at 12/1 (agony) and with a bit more luck, a few more could have won, inc a 6s and 14s shot. The great game!
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Stats Qualifiers...
A chunk of my approach, with daily stats qualifiers (inc ALL Trainer Track Profile qualifiers), and my trends, is to offer you plenty to help in your own punting deliberations, posted the day before, giving you plenty of time for studying. Of course, you can just follow me in if you please!
My September & October Trainers, shared with you, and with qualifiers posted on my blog for members, finished up on +26 points profit, to Betfair SP.
You can add a few more points onto that if getting morning prices, or the night before if you're so lucky!
As one of you fine members said in the private Telegram chat group this morning...
Alistair : "Thoroughly enjoyable first month from my point of view Josh. Useful stats, good ideas, videos are informative and this Telegram chat is friendly and positive (there are plenty of groups out there on the same premise that are not). Here is to a continually pleasant experience!"
I won't bang the 'join my trial' drum too much more, you're probably sick of the sound of it!
What I can promise, is that if you sign up, the prices will not rise for as long as you're a member!
I think they're very reasonable, the 'winter season ticket' works out at around £3.99 per week, but if you prefer the flexibility of quarterly or monthly, the latter is just £4.99 per week.
And if you sign up, and join Alistair and many other happy campers, you'll be locked in at that price.
I will be raising prices at some point down the line, but never for existing members.
So, it's now or never!
Maybe I'll bang in another +31 points this November, another +£156 to just £5 bets. I'll be working hard to do just that!
But, even if I forget how to pick my nose, there's still plenty to get stuck into and add to your enjoyment of THE GREATEST sport.
Click below to start your RTP journey, and to join our happy tribe...
