Good Morning, Friend

I've been bombarding you a fair bit, apologies as always, but apparently you have to say something at least five times for people to notice! :)

In any case, there's a 4/1 tip down below from today's members post, which is one of three selections I've put up today.

Yesterday was another good day, a 15/2 winner and a well backed loser, 5 of my last 7 pokes having won since the Members Club returned last Thursday, nearly +20 points. Or +£100 to just £5 bets.  +£400 to my own £20 stakes. +28 points since 1st Oct, and now +97.5 points since the Cheltenham Festival.

I'll try and break the +100 points barrier asap, in truth I'd take that profit every year! Of course, another losing run will rear it's ugly head at some point, that's punting for you, but I'm working hard to keep this hot-streak going and with any luck I'll find a few winners at Cheltenham this weekend. The 'stats starting points' fired out a couple of 8/1 winners also, for those of you who like finding your own/solving the puzzle yourself.

By now, you know what to do! What are you waiting for...

You can join for just £14.99 a month (x3 pints / x1 nice bottle of wine), 30 day money back guarantee for your first month. Cancel anytime. I'd hope it's a no brainer at that price, it certainly is if I can bang in +97.5 points every 9 1/2 months or so. +£975 to £10 bets. Not too bad. That pays for a few nice meals out, maybe a holiday or a gift to yourself! While having plenty of fun along the way.

You can find out more HERE >>>

Or sign up directly HERE >>>

It's very straightforward, and you'll be inside the Members Post on my blog within 2 minutes. 

Put my tips and content to the test, and see if it's for you. With any luck those who read my content over time are better punters for it, improving your results and profit.

Right, enough of that! Moving on...

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No doubt I've cursed today's poke by emailing out, and he's been a bit weak in the market this morning... gulp...

3.00 Warwick – Heard That – 3/1-7/2 (now 4s, touched 5s)

Heard That – one for the in-form Bowen/Murphy, who’s a bit weak as I type, no idea why, but 4s/5s appearing in the odd place. As always the last 5-15 minutes are most revealing. I wanted him onside here, as he’s the only one in this race without any questions to my eyes. He won around here LTO over shorter, a bit outpaced, flying home late and hitting the line very hard, taking off. It was the victory of a horse who has more to give, in an ok race. That was his second start of the season but he PU early on his return and it’s not impossible he strips a bit fitter for it also. He’s entitled to improve with experience, but also steps up in trip here to 3m which could be transformative again. His hurdling efforts, LTO, and some of his breeding suggests it’s well worth a go and should be in range. This 3m tempo may help him sit a bit closer also, lobbing along. Murphy does well with LTO winners, and I thought he just looked very solid here and had every chance of following up. I’m almost tempted to go in again at 4s/5s, what could go wrong?! 🙂

Of the rest… well New Order stopped very quickly when last seen, and no surprise I suppose that he’s had a wind op since, and all hopes rest on that. However, I thought 4s or so was short enough in that context, still a maiden under rules, for all the yard in fine form. But the horse will know he couldn’t breathe LTO and it may take a run or two to get confidence back, it may not of course. I suspect he shows a bit at home and may give this a good go from the front but I was happy to oppose. Beterforeveryone is a moody sod who never travels overly well, which would concern me around here, and I think open to attack from others, for all he does know how to win and does stay well – this 3m could also be sharp enough here. He was being niggled some way out at Chepstow, as he often his. If he’s on a going day and travels better, he could be thereabouts, but not for me. Walks Like The Man has some ok hurdle form but over that, maybe a sighter over fences LTO, but again, a few too many questions there for me, at a track the yard don’t tend to target too often, if at all.

Ultra Beat is interesting, I did have a good stare, his Bangor run ok, bumping into one for all i’m not sure what followed him home. He got outpaced there/dropped back, stayed on, his jumping iffy at times, as it was at Hereford before he departed, for all maybe unsighted. However , David B was niggling early enough there/he never looked to be travelling that well, and a danger he loses his spot around here and/or his jumping goes iffy again. He is unexposed over fences though, yard flying, Sam T-D returns and he could make a difference. But I’d still fancy the selection to beat him if running his race. He will see this trip out and stay, for all a chance he wants softer also. Of the bigger priced ones this morning, 8s or so, I suppose he’d be the irritating one but I was happy to leave today. I think some headgear may help him, but I’m no doubt he’ll pick up a chase in time. (he has since been baked a bit, we shall see!)

I didn’t really like the others for today, Venetia’s is weak in the market which may be telling but not really much to go on there – could transform for a fence, could be useless, may want softer. Lady J stopped too quickly LTo for my liking over shorter, when race fit, and Roger Rarebit may want softer – i’d be more interested were the visor on. He has a good record fresh but has bled two of last three starts.

In any case, Heard That was the one for me here, we’ll see if I’m right or not.

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Good luck with any bets,

Josh