I have made a lot of money trading the World Cup.

And one of my favourite angles is not some clever pre-match model.

It is much simpler than that.

Laying underdogs at short odds when they are leading by two goals.

Because this is where the market can get silly.

An underdog goes 2-0 up.

Everyone panics.

The price crashes.

People start acting like the game is over.

But very often, the game is not over.

The favourite starts throwing bodies forward.

The underdog drops ten yards deeper.

The ball keeps coming back at them.

The crowd gets nervous.

The pressure builds.

And suddenly that underdog trading at short odds does not look so safe anymore.

That is the window.

Not every time.

Not blindly.

But when the price, the match situation, and the pressure all line up, it can be one of the best World Cup trading spots you will see.

That is what I talk about in the latest podcast.

Why this angle works.

What I look for.

When I stay away.

And why tournament football creates these mad little moments where the market gets far too confident too quickly.

You can listen here: https://www.buzzsprout.com/1516057/episodes/19462815

Martin