Hey, Five goals in a football match.
That sounds like a lot. So I wanted to test something slightly ridiculous...
What happens if you back Over 4.5 Goals on every single match?
No filters. No picking high-scoring leagues. No checking the teams. Just blindly back it every time. And I ran it across two full years of football data.
The results were not what I expected.
In the new podcast, I show you: How often 5+ goals actually happened The total profit and loss The average odds The longest losing runs Which leagues performed best What happened when I started adding filters
This is exactly why backtesting is so useful. You can take a stupidly simple idea... Test it across thousands of matches...
And find out whether there is anything worth pursuing before risking a penny. Listen here: https://www.buzzsprout.com/1516057/episodes/19658027
Martin
P.S. Needing five goals makes 0-0 after 20 minutes feel like the match has already been going for three hours. | 
