Hey, Most traders think Betfair’s goal prices are “smart”.
They see the odds move as time passes and assume the market knows something they don’t.
That’s the mistake.
Betfair prices goals largely off probability and time decay.
Reality doesn’t.
In today’s video, I break down: How goal prices are actually formed Why 0–0 scorelines create false value Where pressure and xG completely break the model And how profitable traders exploit the gap
This is the reason Over goals and Lay the Draw trades work when they’re timed properly.
You’re not betting on goals.
You’re betting against bad pricing.
Watch the video here: WATCH HERE NOW
If you want to take this further, this is exactly the kind of edge we help traders build and test properly inside Betfair Trading Community.
No guessing.
No “it felt right”.
Just proof, data, and repeatable decisions. Take a look when you’re ready.
Martin Betfair Trading Community | 
