Subject: October Message from the President

October 2022

Hello Everyone!

 

It is already October. In Japan, the temperature has dropped significantly and you can spot more and more people on the streets wearing early winter clothes. In Japan, the four seasons of spring, summer, fall, and winter are relatively well-defined, and we feel the passage of time through their changes. However, this year spring was short, and fall passed by like a flash. This is the influence of global warming, and it is said that seasons such as spring and fall will disappear in Japan in the future. It seems like the Japanese sense of life, which perceives the flow of time in the changing seasons, will have to drastically change.


The other day I found a fragrant olive blooming on the golf course. Fragrant olive has a very pleasant aroma, and its sweet scent that wafts from nowhere in particular at this time of year makes you look for the place where it grows. Fragrant olive is native to China and is used as a flower tea because of its fragrance. It is also said to help with insomnia, so be sure to try it if you have a chance.


The prospects of the medium-term management plan prepared in 2021 are now being reviewed. This review must determine what needs to be done to fulfill the initial plan created in 2021 until 2025 and how we should address the various changes in circumstances that occurred in 2021-2022. I would like you to understand that our aim is to adjust the path to the Rigaku we want to become by 2025, incorporating measures to tackle the problems and issues that have arisen over the past two years. At present, it appears that sales will be above the target, but earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) will decline by about 2%. If this situation continues, the medium-term management plan itself will have to be changed, thus a review is required.


But what exactly was that vision of Rigaku Group in 2025? It included sales of at least 80 billion yen and EBITDA of at least 25%. Also, as symbolized by sustainable development goals, the world is now demanding that companies contribute to the realization of a recycling-oriented society, not just concentrating on profit. We decided to become a company that can respond to these expectations.


There is a book titled Zou no Jikan Nezumi no Jikan - Saizu no Seibutsugaku [Elephant’s Time, Mouse’s Time – the Biology of Size] that was much discussed in Japan about 30 years ago. It examined the concept of time for animals from the perspective of size, and the central idea was that changes in size change even the sense of time. Let me quote some
of it.

When compared across mammals of different sizes, from mice to elephants, a rough relation, “Time is proportional to 1/4 power of weight,” is true for all of them. The same is true for the cycles of physiological phenomena, such as the cardiac cycle (the time interval between heartbeats) and respiratory cycle, as well as the time directly connected to lifetime, such as the period of gestation, time until adulthood, and lifespan, which is almost a ¼ power of the body weight. The larger the animal, the longer these processes take. If the weight is 10 times heavier, the time becomes 1.8 times longer.

Body weight also affects how much energy an animal uses. Since body weight is a direct reflection of tissue mass, if we think simply, it seems that energy consumption would be directly proportional to body weight, but this is not the case. If we think in per unit weight, the following relation is true: “energy consumption is inversely proportional to the ¼ power of the body weight.” The larger the body, the less energy it uses.


Energy consumption is inversely proportional to the ¼ power of the body weight, and time is directly proportional to the ¼ power of body weight. So in the end, time and energy consumption are inversely proportional. Since the inverse of time may be regarded as the rate at which time passes, we may also say that “the speed of time is proportional to the amount of energy consumed.”


Also, large animals such as elephants are almost at the top of the grassland prey-predator relationship and do not need to particularly worry about being eaten by anyone, so they can move slowly and do not require large numbers of individuals. On the other hand, mice are targeted by many predators and must be agile enough to escape from them, so they move quickly, and their populations are very large. This is the result of evolution for different animals to protect their species.

This relationship was derived from comparisons between different adult animals of different sizes, but I think it can be applied to companies as well. Until now, we have existed as a private company, but in 2025 we are to become a public company by listing on the stock market. The stock market is like a grassland for animals, where predators are vigilantly searching for food to make themselves bigger. Let’s take a look at the structure of the analytical instruments industry. It consists mainly of giant companies such as Thermo, Agilent, and Danaher; six semi-giants such as Illumina and Shimadzu; seven core companies such as QIAGEN; and about 30 companies in the 500M$ to 100M$ range, where Rigaku is rated as #26. Since only the top nine companies and some of the core companies are potential predators, I think we may say that the companies below them are in a position where they must feel in danger of being preyed upon. A “no-frills” company like Rigaku, with a narrowly focused business target and a world-class niche market is very attractive to company-predators and has a high probability of becoming their target.


Therefore, even after successful listing, we must acquire a “form” that will protect us from predators. What is this “form?” To me, it is a company that has the physical strength to compete with predators, quick-witted and agile ability to take action, and the capabilities (clear thinking and judgment) that are highly valued by general shareholders. Making a comparison to animals, it would be a panther or a boar, I guess.


I think that the most important thing for a company like ours is agility, and the key to acquiring that agility is the appropriate size. I think this is similar to the zoological logic I mentioned above—the size of a company determines the time interval for that company. In my previous job, I worked for Hitachi—a giant company where decision-making took a long time, and everything had to be done in year units. The same is true for GE, which I mentioned in August. Even after 30 years, GE failed to create an optimal constitution for its own size. In the end, the decision to divide the company into smaller companies of a size suitable for each business should have been made much earlier.


Therefore, I believe that Rigaku should aim to become an appropriately sized company rather than blindly try to become a giant company. And that appropriate size is 800M$ (in the case of 1$=100¥), which we have targeted in this mid-term management plan. After that, we should aim at developing as an agile and creative company that can continuously produce high value-added work rather than simply grow in size. If we can do that, I think it is also possible to aim for an EBITDA of almost 40%.


We now have the goal of stock market listing, but it is necessary to understand that this goal leads us into a world full of dangers. I would like to work with all of you to become a company that can operate independently and firmly in that dangerous world. I would like everyone to understand the orientation of this medium-term management plan, and to reconsider the plan with the image of Rigaku in 2025 in mind.


P.S.: The book Zou no Jikan Nezumi no Jikan - Saizu no Seibutsugaku [Elephant’s Time, Mouse’s Time – the Biology of Size] was written by Tatsuo Motokawa, a Japanese university professor. For those overseas who are interested, I include for your reference the following books, written by Dr. Motokawa's colleagues. However, I have not read them and don’t know whether the content is the same.

1) Size and Shape by Robert McNeill Alexander

2) How Animals Work by Knut Schmidt-Nielsen

Toshiyuki Ikeda

President & CEO

Rigaku Corporation