Subject: Day 11
Hi Friend,
We won both bets yesterday! 100%
I actually did not get to watch the games - I recorded them and I will watch them today.
I like to watch every single game that goes by just to understand how these teams function more and more as we progress.
Looking ahead to Monday, we have two sets of final round group games in two slots. So 4 matches but we will only be able watch 2 of them live.
BETTING FOR MONDAY EVENING / NIGHT
17:00 - Macedonia v Netherlands
Bet 1: Over 2.5+ goals (1.60 on the exchange)
Stake: £10
17:00 - Ukraine v Austria
Bet 2: Under 2.5 goals (1.45 on the exchange)
Stake: £10
Bet 3: Under 1.5 goals (2.5 on the exchange)
Stake: £4
20:00 - Russia v Denmark
Bet 4: Under 2.5 goals (1.95 on the exchange)
Stake: £10
20:00 - Finland v Denmark
Bet 5: Under 2.5 goals (1.97 on the exchange)
Stake: £10
ANALYSIS - NORTH MACEDONIA V NETHERLANDS
The game is being played at the Johan Cruiyff Arena so this too is a Dutch home game.
The Netherlands haven't quite confirmed top spot but it would take something monumental to dislodge them.
Instead of going for a home win I am going with over 2.5+ goals. Now, the Dutch may rest some players and North Macedonia are probably going home already.
What this recipe could bring us is goals. A team with nothing to play for against a team who may give opportunity to impress to some squad players.
ANALYSIS - UKRAINE v AUSTRIA
This will be a tight game and I have noticed that the odds on the draw are very low.
A draw may suit both sides because the 3rd place spot is up for grabs in 4 of the 6 groups.
Now, i had a look at last night's group - Switzerland on 4pts and a -1 goal difference means that a draw between these two teams IMMEDIATELY puts the Swiss behind them in the order.
This game is an under 2.5 goal bet for me and if it ends in more goals I will be very surprised because SAFETY is actually the best option here.
0-0 can't even be ruled out.
I've gone for two bets. If the under 2.5 wins we profit by about 50p and if under 1.5 and under 2.5 both win then our profit is going to be much bigger.
ANALYSIS - RUSSIA v DENMARK
Denmark have hade an awful tournament for many reasons and they are on the verge of going out because they're on 0 points and a -2 goal difference.
To qualify 3rd on 3 points would require a miracle now and it would also require them to smash Russia. Russia on the other hand will know that a draw is fine.
Denmark are probably the better side especially playing at home but I expect Russia to just be solid and hope. I am going for under 2.5 goals here.
ANALYSIS - FINLAND v BELGIUM
Having already secured top spot, Belgium will end up resting some players.
Strangely enough, Belgium have a really bad record against Finland. They've failed to beat them in the last 6 in all forms of internationals.
Now that the Belgians have qualified, it remains to be seen what team they'll field today meaning Finland could be in with a chance.
One last thing from me:
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Thank you
Kind Regards
John Anthony