Subject: Using Probability Cones to Test for Strategy Death. Did you read this past blog post?

Revisiting old research can spark new research or trading ideas. Did you read Using Probability Cones to Test for Strategy Death?

The most common question I get is how do you determine that a strategy is no longer working. It is also the question that I don’t have a good answer for. I have written several posts about this: Trading the Equity Curve, How to turn off a strategy using historical volatility, Broken Strategy or Market Change. During his How to detect a failing trading strategy presentation, Kevin Davey discusses how he uses probability cones to determine when to stop trading a strategy. I had not investigated this concept and was very intrigued.

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Good Quant Trading,
Cesar


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